TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,383 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaeaa…ed6dbacked Under0c10,000$10 inLost-$107055.7%39 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$10948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under26c742.43$193 inLost-$193.032,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over74c496$367 inWon+$128.9641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over74c191.72$142 inWon+$49.534,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Under25c117.64$29 inLost-$29.416618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Over70c108.56$76 inWon+$32.576070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Under26c84.66$22 inLost-$21.869330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over75c76.64$57 inWon+$19.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over75c57.95$43 inWon+$14.491,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c57.77$14 inLost-$14.442,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over76c52$40 inWon+$12.4842640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under24c52$12 inLost-$12.483,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c40.88$31 inWon+$10.222,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Over74c27.02$20 inWon+$7.0218056.1%101 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over75c15$11 inWon+$3.7586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.