TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,001,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,047,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,001,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c156,078$114,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,942.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over24c151,962$36,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,471.2633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over27c85,000$22,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,049.9422348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…ebe7backed Under0c70,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under77c54,593$41,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,876.692,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over27c37,485$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,385.141,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under74c28,720$21,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,188.223,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over26c21,995$5,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,291.911,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over27c21,896$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,984.3914045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over53c18,946$10,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,904.3864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under70c17,756$12,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,392.3377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over54c17,225$9,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,886.1444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under75c16,468$12,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,351.2320955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Under77c11,500$8,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,849.997538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over27c11,214$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,215.2245428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over52c10,179$5,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,909.9728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c9,194$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.523,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under73c8,541$6,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,234.6932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under46c7,454$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.1619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over25c7,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.989126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Under76c6,579$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Under74c6,398$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.739148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under75c6,132$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,600.131,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Under49c6,129$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under75c6,099$4,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,575.791,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under55c5,820$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,65034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under55c4,737$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.082441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over40c4,466$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.7522342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Under68c4,412$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c4,273$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.252,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Under62c4,239$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6281346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Under57c3,881$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.069547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over26c3,846$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.1589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked Under50c3,782$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.097445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under62c3,758$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.284,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under50c3,524$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.761,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Over53c3,507$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.424025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Under55c3,420$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.472339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under74c3,338$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.151,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c3,308$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over35c3,131$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.3130142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over53c3,019$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.8724341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.9748441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a05…dfbcbacked Under75c2,933$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under46c2,921$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.6210851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Under73c2,740$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-59.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over28c2,739$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.0435424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under45c2,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9834122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under48c2,646$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.171,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c2,621$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2121314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Under80c2,616$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.9778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.3117569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under73c2,591$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.561,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under49c2,554$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.6811648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over52c2,519$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.239538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over55c2,464$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.6323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over27c2,400$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75247144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over25c2,395$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.1595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Over22c2,368$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.232227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under61c2,264$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.271,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c2,194$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.112,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over31c2,132$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over40c1,939$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.3722846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over43c1,923$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.6385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0812254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under52c1,889$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under80c1,870$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.726352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c1,831$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Under76c1,795$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.22669.2%18 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over23c1,793$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.762,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over25c1,728$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.7358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over54c1,702$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.2536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Under68c1,618$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c1,615$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over47c1,529$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.8687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20011156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under14c1,460$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.82313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under69c1,458$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over44c1,442$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under32c1,434$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.613727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under7c1,385$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.22,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over53c1,330$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.2718449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c1,309$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.861,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under48c1,248$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf959…3f27backed Under63c1,234$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.61776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under72c1,200$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under48c1,198$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57528526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under49c1,182$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.085166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under52c1,179$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Over25c1,162$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.654626.1%12 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over26c1,156$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.3328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under11c1,151$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.115139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over29c1,101$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.4411122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27a…a9d1backed Under76c1,068$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.616368.3%43 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over48c1,042$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.9534533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.