TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c37,539$27,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,038.944,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over30c10,650$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,444.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under75c8,598$6,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,486.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over27c5,556$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.5627433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c4,560$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.362,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under77c4,349$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over22c4,025$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.6114234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over39c3,262$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.8330142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over26c2,940$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over28c2,619$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.334,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Over39c2,440$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.46152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c2,380$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.584,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over17c1,657$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.431,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over79c1,490$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c1,402$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over27c1,203$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.9216136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over24c1,190$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.12,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over41c1,098$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.921,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under73c1,079$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.242,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over25c1,002$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over23c999.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9921850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c999.55$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.211,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over19c896$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.761,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over28c760.69$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4322846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6cf…4228backed Over27c629.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.6316448.2%79 W · 85 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under16c620$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.25139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over30c552.14$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.22,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Over26c465.33$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3410354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over37c404.41$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.421,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over26c400$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Over39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24416542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over25c391.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.53,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2258652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over26c365.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.383542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over21c361$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over18c359.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.1945536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under75c333$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.752,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over32c330$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.47655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over40c300$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.051,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb064…12a0backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.719131.9%29 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over26c251.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4720149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf6…cf2abacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under29c219.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.252,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over28c206.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4619935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c198$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.063,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under79c195.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under13c194.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Over36c180$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.121439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over28c167.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.867219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over21c149.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8637237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c149.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.132,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under73c147.17$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.791,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under59c134.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.771,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over26c127.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.073,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under10c119.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under71c105$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786c…14c3backed Over26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7518911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over24c95.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.212,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under75c92.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.031,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under73c80$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under73c77.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde68…4b16backed Over26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed Over26c75.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5618850%94 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b09…60e0backed Over25c74.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.594434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4311748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7e…f568backed Over23c70$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.93537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under74c67.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9973234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over27c59.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.939852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under77c57.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.941,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under77c56.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.691,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over23c56.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5218036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over28c53.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.769428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d5…d3a6backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.285448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d7e…3b97backed Over40c50.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.253672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over31c48.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6169744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Under74c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4116349.7%81 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4343…210dbacked Under75c38.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.76771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Under74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.222957.6%132 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb563…888bbacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.834844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under58c19.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.333412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Under55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4512847.7%61 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Under77c18.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2622445.5%102 W · 122 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over71c17.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1113651.5%70 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.