TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0d5…d3a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT5448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$176.24
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$34.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$93.09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$31.63
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$15.51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$171.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$8.59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.