Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b803a1ed5dd2934be547bb3fa75a22a04234b332910a22f64e794a9ddcca27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,048$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.4 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 15c | 530.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…63b6backed Yes | 22c | 512.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 502.82$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 79c | 461.06$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 79c | 389.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 71c | 331.71$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 14c | 283.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 15c | 282$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…401ebacked Yes | 14c | 278.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 374 | 17.4%65 W · 309 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 271.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 63c | 259.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 73c | 251.57$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 31c | 249.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 48c | 209$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 22c | 200.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 43c | 194$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes | 12c | 177.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 11c | 174.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 169.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 169.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 166.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 21c | 157.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 13c | 157.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 12c | 155.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 13c | 153.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…9ffcbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…53fabacked Yes | 18c | 149.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…5c11backed No | 77c | 130.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 14c | 130.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 123.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 123.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 29c | 121.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 30c | 100.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 43c | 100.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 22c | 95.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…d97fbacked Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 16c | 88.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c908backed Yes | 14c | 80.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 80.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 17c | 78.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 59c | 75.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 78c | 64.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…49c5backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 79cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed Yes | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 34c | 57.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 36c | 56.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 54c | 55.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 40c | 54.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 28c | 52.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…0d63backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…a098backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 28c | 46.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 26c | 44.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…d3a6backed Yes | 34c | 44.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…f288backed Yes | 54c | 43.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 80c | 43.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 38.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 80c | 37.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 63c | 36.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 54c | 33.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…d262backed No | 78c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 73c | 30.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 79c | 30.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 51c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 76c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 54c | 27.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 60c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…698cbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 60c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked No | 71c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 49c | 21.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 54c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 80c | 18.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…84bfbacked No | 79c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…9278backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…7e7bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 117 | 74.4%87 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.