Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe030cd1ba32ebe0a3102b27e35dd191e99e020d2634c4ae7de37db1a3069973b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef32…265cbacked No | 63c | 2,031$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.06 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,932$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…3556backed Yes | 36c | 1,381$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…013dbacked No | 2c | 1,374$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 1,231$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.94 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed Yes | 42c | 1,227$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.76 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 49c | 1,198$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.56 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 28c | 577.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.85 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 529.14$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.88 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 427.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.01 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 6c | 415.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…2d79backed Yes | 34c | 411.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 40c | 380.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 70c | 372.75$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 22c | 370.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.42 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 365.25$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 39c | 349.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 10c | 310.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.02 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 69c | 305.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 16c | 304.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 61c | 289.28$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 285.55$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.07 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 41c | 246.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 22c | 246.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 77c | 227.35$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 74c | 220.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 25c | 209.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 15c | 200.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 199.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 64c | 193.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 190$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 184.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 56c | 175.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 23c | 161$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 19c | 151.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 61c | 141.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 139.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfc…26febacked Yes | 15c | 137.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…d402backed Yes | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…559fbacked Yes | 33c | 133$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e65…9d5fbacked Yes | 37c | 128.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 34c | 124.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 36c | 124.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 24c | 123.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 17c | 121.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 16c | 121.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 26c | 120.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 28c | 120.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…5a54backed No | 68c | 119.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 74c | 119$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 116.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 24c | 115.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 37c | 113.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 24c | 108$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 71c | 106.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 106.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 26c | 104.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 24c | 103.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 18c | 103$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 19c | 102.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 24c | 100.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…8147backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 16c | 99.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaea…1d63backed Yes | 37c | 98.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…9321backed Yes | 38c | 97.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 67c | 95.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 71c | 91.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 67c | 89.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 40c | 88.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…c110backed Yes | 37c | 86.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 62c | 85.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 80.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed No | 66c | 79.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked Yes | 14c | 78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 58c | 77.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 17c | 72.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 42c | 72.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 69c | 72.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 68c | 69.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 18c | 68.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 17c | 68.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 19c | 68.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 73c | 68.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 67.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…b1c2backed Yes | 20c | 67.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Yes | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 16c | 66.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 21c | 65.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 17c | 65.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 26c | 59.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.