TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93a6…b1c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
486
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT37141.8%155 W · 216 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 371 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$340
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.43
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 371 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+172.9%+$126.92
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.86
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$40.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$17.2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. House of Representatives session be announced by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.