NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2be3de0355b7363b61fe0ec1ce7bfe6807e6068f490bbd421d95cece3592ed2

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,850,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,001,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,850,314 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4a52…baafbacked Pistons	0c	520,433$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.16	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	49c	295,452$143,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143,323.55	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers	51c	229,959$117,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112,734.53	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Cavaliers	51c	158,824$81,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77,823.63	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers	52c	115,385$60,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,384.62	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	48c	111,074$53,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,315.31	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons	48c	82,286$39,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,635	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	51c	80,000$40,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,199.93	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Pistons	49c	74,184$36,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,350.3	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pistons	49c	60,932$29,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,856.8	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,499.82	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Pistons	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,600	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers	59c	38,500$22,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,744.99	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons	49c	26,000$12,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,738.38	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	52c	25,243$13,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,189.23	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons	28c	24,946$7,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,016.36	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Pistons	49c	20,772$10,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,178.5	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,600	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Pistons	52c	19,172$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e9…1644backed Pistons	55c	18,020$9,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,909.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons	51c	16,283$8,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,234.59	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons	49c	14,927$7,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,321.82	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers	50c	14,780$7,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,461.02	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers	52c	13,526$7,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,492.48	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a1…f36bbacked Cavaliers	52c	10,002$5,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Pistons	19c	9,999$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,899.81	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Pistons	17c	9,697$1,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,683.63	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Pistons	49c	9,682$4,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,744.09	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…1635backed Cavaliers	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,615.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Cavaliers	52c	8,846$4,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,246.15	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons	53c	8,700$4,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,628.9	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,920	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	47c	7,743$3,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,096.67	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa74…d98bbacked Pistons	49c	6,721$3,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,293.29	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons	51c	6,500$3,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,315	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers	46c	6,297$2,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400.54	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Pistons	49c	6,105$2,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,991.54	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Pistons	1c	5,880$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.9	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Cavaliers	52c	5,854$3,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,810.11	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Cavaliers	52c	5,769$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,769.23	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x173d…cbb0backed Pistons	48c	4,815$2,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,311.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	43c	4,789$2,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,068.45	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons	49c	4,299$2,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,118.68	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pistons	54c	4,237$2,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,287.8	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36e…dab1backed Pistons	49c	4,100$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked Pistons	49c	4,074$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	40cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Cavaliers	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919.98	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Pistons	50c	3,907$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.06	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers	52c	3,708$1,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779.9	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7754…9709backed Pistons	44c	3,431$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524.12	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Cavaliers	46c	3,260$1,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,747.79	205	37.1%76 W · 129 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba6…ae0cbacked Pistons	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Pistons	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.94	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x963f…4487backed Pistons	1c	2,936$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.36	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Cavaliers	51c	2,851$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,396.88	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Pistons	49c	2,706$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons	48c	2,645$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.58	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Cavaliers	52c	2,639$1,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,266.48	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Cavaliers	52c	2,584$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240.32	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Pistons	45c	2,519$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.63	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pistons	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Cavaliers	51c	2,422$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.56	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons	53c	2,257$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.96	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Pistons	1c	2,214$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons	47c	2,213$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.73	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Pistons	58c	2,141$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.78	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1711…9ba2backed Pistons	49c	2,082$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Cavaliers	28c	2,070$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.75	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x78f8…b501backed Pistons	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Pistons	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Cavaliers	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Pistons	55c	2,000$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons	52c	1,979$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.44	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5521…442abacked Pistons	1c	1,953$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Cavaliers	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pistons	64c	1,905$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.65	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	52c	1,902$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.61	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pistons	49c	1,884$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.44	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Cavaliers	52c	1,731$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.07	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Cavaliers	51c	1,693$863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.56	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Cavaliers	45c	1,556$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.56	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons	64c	1,548$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.75	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Pistons	13c	1,500$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+151.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	49c	1,500$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Pistons	58c	1,500$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Cavaliers	75c	1,475$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.81	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Cavaliers	51c	1,386$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.13	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons	49c	1,362$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.41	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Pistons	49c	1,224$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons	43c	1,200$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Cavaliers	51c	1,177$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.73	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Pistons	43c	1,162$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Cavaliers	52c	1,154$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.85	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Pistons	49c	1,150$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.5	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pistons	40c	1,139$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.52	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event