TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,818 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons36c1,322$476 inLost-$475.941,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Cavaliers64c1,294$828 inWon+$465.825050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Pistons3c650$19 inLost-$19.53444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Pistons43c349.98$149 inLost-$149.095058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers65c191.44$124 inWon+$67.091,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Pistons66c178.79$118 inLost-$118633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers63c152.99$96 inWon+$56.732,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers52c136.53$71 inWon+$65.531,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers63c135.14$85 inWon+$502,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Pistons37c135.14$50 inLost-$5016725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa24d…0af7backed Pistons61c115.66$70 inLost-$70.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Pistons37c108.11$40 inLost-$4026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Pistons20c100$19 inLost-$19.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Pistons35c99.99$35 inLost-$3517047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Cavaliers54c98.24$53 inWon+$45.243455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cavaliers38c86.9$33 inWon+$53.9917946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Cavaliers52c67$35 inWon+$32.262462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers46c57.95$26 inWon+$31.5730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9999…0654backed Pistons54c55.73$30 inLost-$301650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Cavaliers74c49.67$37 inWon+$13.095736.8%21 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Cavaliers64c42.15$27 inWon+$15.1711852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…5c09backed Pistons52c38.73$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Cavaliers68c36.62$25 inWon+$11.8816867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Pistons48c30$14 inLost-$14.433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Cavaliers64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.631560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.