NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051d670498c8c88e41ee2e41775d1de90fd5cf2a9d9b626b8830f1cbc031a7a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 49c | 3,553$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.09 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 3,332$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.99 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 71c | 1,947$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 11c | 1,216$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.52 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 49c | 966$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…20e0backed Under | 53c | 785.57$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 732.63$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Under | 41c | 520.43$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 461.34$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.46 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…0654backed Under | 26c | 443.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 29c | 418$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.86 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 376.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 49c | 350.93$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Under | 42c | 273.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…9c26backed Over | 58c | 207.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 35c | 193.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…154cbacked Over | 50c | 178.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Over | 50c | 120.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…42c3backed Under | 11c | 110.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 80c | 93.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 38c | 92.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 28c | 89.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 41c | 74.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 41c | 74.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Under | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Over | 44c | 68.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 73c | 67.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Over | 67c | 60.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 50c | 56.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 51c | 55.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 51c | 55.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 50c | 50.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 50c | 46.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 54c | 42.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…e537backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ac2cbacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…94a3backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 69cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…19a0backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 38c | 29.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 62c | 29.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 26.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 71c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 61c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.