TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a52…baafbacked Under0c44,002$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c14,934$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.621,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under2c12,636$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.091,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c10,222$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c8,906$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.342,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c7,522$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.0455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c7,306$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under51c6,308$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,216.7410553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over50c6,023$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.383135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under42c3,957$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.6761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under2c3,785$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.912,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under29c3,564$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over52c2,658$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.7420051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under46c2,132$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.7565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under36c2,119$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.786636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9405453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,673$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.5784342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over54c1,657$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.9616555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over54c1,574$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.0721957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over60c1,417$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under39c1,350$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.973,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c1,300$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.3189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c1,257$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58818445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c1,126$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.7993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over64c1,044$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.1989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under38c1,039$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c1,019$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.962,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under44c891.61$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under44c889.6$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under44c822.47$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under24c767.13$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under47c750$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.2130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over64c733.8$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.431,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over64c684.81$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.959061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over51c668.22$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4327553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c614$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4424955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c579$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.271,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over61c563.79$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over54c548.17$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1618650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over51c515$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Under47c508.3$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.95743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under50c506.79$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.412857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2457950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c489.11$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over53c480$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.63948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under20c465.9$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.126131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under47c461.66$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.983253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over58c461.34$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over51c456.27$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c450$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.371,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over65c401.75$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7527549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under33c390$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.151,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b9…94a3backed Over80c342.31$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.46650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick69cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over49c325.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9725360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over76c319.27$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.131,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c314.07$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Under48c305.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7115844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9999…0654backed Over64c300.4$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.221650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15617047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Under32c294.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.174544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under47c272.56$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.18348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c268$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Over49c262.87$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.013545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under49c259.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1269653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c236.8$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.41,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over51c223$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68b…c39cbacked Over51c222.78$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.161050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over58c214.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.741,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc820…5366backed Over51c212$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41b…dd9dbacked Under50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedd7…4e85backed Over51c210$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1c…3143backed Under50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e2…a6b1backed Over51c202$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc868…9f66backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe268…0573backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over72c199.54$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x825a…9f6fbacked Over51c199$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.511850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef3…1a90backed Under50c199$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Under30c197$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…f5a6backed Under50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+63.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99e8…92cebacked Over51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac5…fb4fbacked Over51c192$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f82…b570backed Under50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eaf…a69abacked Over51c190$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28fb…f005backed Under50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f80…e668backed Over51c188$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.12977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc29c…3851backed Under50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…db8bbacked Over51c187$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x190c…08c0backed Under50c187$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.