TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$346,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under50c106,603$53,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,301.2915545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Over50c104,285$52,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,185.352458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Over49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,4001776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under51c33,491$17,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,080.3920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Under51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,7504951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under49c20,922$10,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,251.8637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over48c20,024$9,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,395.6948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c16,079$8,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,361.331,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over51c14,280$7,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,997.220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c10,175$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,212.579447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c9,131$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,972.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c7,950$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c7,290$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under38c7,288$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.6249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c5,309$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.141,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.967963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under53c3,858$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.4917042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Over50c3,193$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.447353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over49c3,050$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,411$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.671,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Under30c2,288$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.893330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c2,218$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.1856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Under63c2,078$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under48c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.0817052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under51c1,910$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.9165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c1,628$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.2269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,626$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over50c1,522$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76110556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c1,515$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.9355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over53c1,400$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66411757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ae7…1eebbacked Over50c1,307$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over51c1,302$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.0468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Under34c1,152$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.611942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over60c1,074$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.31,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Over53c1,042$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.844276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x620f…4288backed Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Under58c972.39$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.664470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c959.98$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.4462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under41c918.3$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.315160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over53c706.11$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34321653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c695.61$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.722,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c692.97$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.351,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over51c660.78$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7815543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde6b…fae0backed Over50c645.93$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over50c576.04$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.0230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under51c562.71$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c530.88$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.63,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Under41c457.57$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1140053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Over51c453.1$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.025151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Under46c436.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Over80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.182871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over43c398$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1638432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c387.17$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.336,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Under41c365.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.914560%27 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over62c354$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.523545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Under52c326$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.224839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c323.62$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under47c319.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over66c303.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6127549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Over50c301.95$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.797944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15629556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Over50c296.56$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1214443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Over55c284.93$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under39c266.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x417d…f3c5backed Over50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Under50c237.46$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7315246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over62c236.94$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6916146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under51c199.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9712558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f9…9725backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0812753.5%68 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4668…3b66backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under52c189.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.298037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over71c176.17$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.173542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c165.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.71,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over62c159.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.445540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Over70c157$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.12166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8616555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c154.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c154.13$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.071,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over62c151.61$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.613164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x286b…c15fbacked Under37c136.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick46cpaid-63.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over48c135.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4226755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Over52c129.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3113042.3%55 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.