NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae227311f776cbc872f1bc8a142fde2d7d535625f024a8e5a079d01add8a9d24

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $323,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $389,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers	52c	52,060$27,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,968.19	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a52…baafbacked Pistons	0c	51,790$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.79	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	48c	48,125$23,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,195.38	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	55c	35,705$19,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,156.15	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Pistons	45c	28,760$12,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,942.12	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	44c	27,878$12,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,266.11	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pistons	45c	15,442$6,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,948.75	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	+18.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	56c	8,929$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,928.57	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	56c	8,929$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,928.57	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons	27c	6,992$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,879.99	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers	54c	6,742$3,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,134.52	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Cavaliers	50c	6,002$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,002.1	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fb…6201backed Cavaliers	56c	5,070$2,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,230.64	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons	46c	4,000$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824.19	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers	55c	3,015$1,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,356.75	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers	55c	2,989$1,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345.01	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons	48c	2,400$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons	44c	2,371$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.13	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	55c	2,329$1,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.91	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons	48c	2,105$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.08	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons	56c	2,090$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,161.85	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Cavaliers	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.98	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Pistons	2c	1,950$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-49%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Pistons	47c	1,925$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.45	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Cavaliers	69c	1,863$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.18	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Cavaliers	55c	1,780$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers	55c	1,710$941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.5	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Pistons	45c	1,664$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.86	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers	55c	1,551$853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.95	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers	56c	1,420$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.64	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	55c	1,364$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.67	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons	49c	1,265$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.62	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Pistons	40c	1,253$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Pistons	40c	1,184$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.65	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	62c	1,113$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.03	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Pistons	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Pistons	45c	1,107$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.33	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons	46c	1,073$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.03	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Pistons	45c	1,060$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.98	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef9…5e27backed Cavaliers	49c	1,022$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.67	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pistons	51c	1,006$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.18	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Cavaliers	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Cavaliers	55c	999.99$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Cavaliers	53c	999.97$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.98	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Cavaliers	56c	892.86$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.86	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons	36c	848.85$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.48	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Pistons	45c	826$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.7	164	36.6%60 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Pistons	11c	821$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.71	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Pistons	46c	802.17$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pistons	36c	793.12$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.15	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Pistons	10c	778$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.24	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Cavaliers	53c	754.72$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.72	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Cavaliers	49c	712.08$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.22	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons	47c	704.96$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.59	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons	33c	683.57$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.43	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Pistons	45c	666.66$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pistons	32c	640.65$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.15	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons	53c	628.56$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.04	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers	53c	628.23$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers	51c	615.89$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.64	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1711…9ba2backed Pistons	46c	615.22$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers	54c	615.22$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Pistons	58c	599.98$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.55	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe85e…0f89backed Cavaliers	55c	512.18$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.48	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers	56c	508.93$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.93	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Pistons	8c	500$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	20	35%7 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Cavaliers	55c	454.55$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.55	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cavaliers	45c	452.08$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.1	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pistons	68c	441.27$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Pistons	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Pistons	47c	414.51$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.82	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Cavaliers	63c	400$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	256	57%146 W · 110 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Cavaliers	44c	399.98$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.99	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Pistons	47c	375.2$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.27	360	51.7%186 W · 174 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Pistons	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers	54c	353.59$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.11	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Pistons	32c	330$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Cavaliers	29c	320.06$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.95	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Pistons	47c	319.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.4	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Pistons	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	144	49.3%71 W · 73 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Cavaliers	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	241	39%94 W · 147 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Cavaliers	55c	268.4$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.78	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+8.9wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Cavaliers	56c	260$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.4	137	64.2%88 W · 49 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Cavaliers	45c	251.68$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.41	274	63.5%174 W · 100 L	+34.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Cavaliers	54c	249.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	128	51.6%66 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Pistons	38c	236.31$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.73	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Pistons	44c	230$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Cavaliers	55c	227.9$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.55	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Pistons	45c	222.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84a1…f630backed Pistons	47c	221.28$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Pistons	45c	217.38$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.82	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Pistons	35c	216.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.82	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Pistons	34c	199.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	54c	199.86$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.94	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Cavaliers	69c	191.64$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.18	90	61.1%55 W · 35 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Pistons	49c	180.3$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.04	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers	56c	179$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.76	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons	48c	168$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.02	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event