TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shenzhen Leopardsof Guangzhou Loong Lions, Shenzhen Leopards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafe4…f3f7backed Shenzhen Leopards60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.996346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions36c4,804$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.5624430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Guangzhou Loong Lions5c3,691$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5413046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Guangzhou Loong Lions28c3,493$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.161850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions41c3,438$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.585151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed Shenzhen Leopards72c2,752$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c19…37afbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions22c2,492$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions40c2,314$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.4414037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe04b…35acbacked Shenzhen Leopards61c1,737$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions42c1,602$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Shenzhen Leopards66c1,582$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.071656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Guangzhou Loong Lions40c1,205$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4827159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Guangzhou Loong Lions41c1,023$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.531136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Guangzhou Loong Lions10c989.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7513220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shenzhen Leopards62c908.42$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.974344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions40c841.09$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Shenzhen Leopards66c673.81$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0826935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Shenzhen Leopards73c576.4$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions34c564.91$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.077138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab2…b321backed Guangzhou Loong Lions39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions34c498.37$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.525747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions40c481.95$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.781145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Guangzhou Loong Lions23c440.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Guangzhou Loong Lions43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions4c383.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0835234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions7c359.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.528611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions28c317.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Guangzhou Loong Lions28c316.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.577462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Shenzhen Leopards61c280.32$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.336446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions7c275.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.516828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Shenzhen Leopards61c270.27$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.48453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions39c261.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.256162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Shenzhen Leopards77c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.92977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1066…1786backed Guangzhou Loong Lions39c248.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Guangzhou Loong Lions24c242.05$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8828943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Guangzhou Loong Lions40c220.21$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.083933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7084…f44ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions40c215.68$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions26c211.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Shenzhen Leopards71c207.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.598845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Guangzhou Loong Lions30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b2…fda3backed Shenzhen Leopards69c196.57$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Shenzhen Leopards78c177.65$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.751163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Shenzhen Leopards60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Guangzhou Loong Lions34c160.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.85825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Guangzhou Loong Lions34c155.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.772846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Guangzhou Loong Lions43c155.02$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.619851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions40c144.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shenzhen Leopards63c136.48$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3454251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Guangzhou Loong Lions29c127.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Guangzhou Loong Lions10c125.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.785628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.24452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions40c116.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.734953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7395…fdeebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions30c106.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.192356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Guangzhou Loong Lions36c102.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.195752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Guangzhou Loong Lions39c100.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.56949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Guangzhou Loong Lions40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.563756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked Shenzhen Leopards72c89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Guangzhou Loong Lions25c88.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Guangzhou Loong Lions25c83.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1225517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions18c80.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.896119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions40c74.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Shenzhen Leopards72c73.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.925453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Shenzhen Leopards72c65.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.291650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Shenzhen Leopards79c64.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions41c62.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.717944.3%35 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ab…9b4bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shenzhen Leopards72c58.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3134344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions41c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.527338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a6…b1c2backed Guangzhou Loong Lions40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Guangzhou Loong Lions35c44.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.819748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Guangzhou Loong Lions29c44.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Guangzhou Loong Lions45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.344165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Shenzhen Leopards72c37.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.72458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions31c37.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions35c34.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.111323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Shenzhen Leopards59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.563943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Shenzhen Leopards64c26.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7a…f619backed Shenzhen Leopards60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Shenzhen Leopards72c23.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Shenzhen Leopards60c21.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.554131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0004…4794backed Shenzhen Leopards59c19.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Shenzhen Leopards61c19.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Shenzhen Leopards72c14.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.