Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649e4e04f648c4229925590ab7bc114bc1bbe08bd3de0253110d528a2eef6b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 1c | 19,209$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 44c | 3,364$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.29 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,832$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.27 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 31c | 1,194$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.7 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 57c | 933$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 9c | 704.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 44c | 606.75$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.03 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 567.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.55 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 34c | 483.36$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 453.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.16 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 13c | 448.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.56 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed No | 22c | 386.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.05 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 383.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.37 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 46c | 358.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 30c | 345.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed No | 30c | 337.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.45 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 336.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 33c | 330.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 11c | 326.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.04 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 47c | 306$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 26c | 303.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…8874backed No | 63c | 299.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 285.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 19c | 260.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 18c | 249.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.29 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 13c | 228.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 75c | 226.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 9c | 224.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.46 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 219$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 24c | 199.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 199.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…2d79backed Yes | 50c | 198.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 45c | 197.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 58c | 194.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 21c | 191.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 189.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 21c | 186.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 58c | 182.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 25c | 163.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 57c | 159.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 152.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 150.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…a1eabacked Yes | 39c | 146.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 17c | 140.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 17c | 139$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…8147backed No | 17c | 134.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked No | 9c | 128$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 40c | 122.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 57c | 121.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 55c | 119$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 43c | 117.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 116.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 35c | 115.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 14c | 114.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked No | 15c | 113.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 59c | 110.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 58c | 110.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…af96backed No | 24c | 109.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 28c | 109.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 53c | 102.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 102.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 45c | 100.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…e027backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4956backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…9321backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 54c | 97.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…182cbacked Yes | 42c | 96.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 13c | 95.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 16c | 92.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 80c | 92.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 11c | 92.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed No | 14c | 90.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 58c | 86.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 53c | 84.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 25c | 83.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 59c | 78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 23c | 77.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 22c | 77.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 40c | 76.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 63c | 76.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 59c | 74.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 45c | 71.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 58c | 69.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 65.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 63c | 62.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 29c | 62.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…86b4backed No | 57c | 61.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 40c | 60.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.