Spread: Germany (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c3b0cb17e682fe9637f144d818d4d02911276591ef34aca817a7fa10277541

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ecuadorof Germany, Ecuador
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,857,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,813,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,857,911 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,065 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Ecuador	68c	774,256$523,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250,292.63	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	26c	290,678$75,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,409.27	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Germany	37c	250,000$92,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,540.43	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ecuador	67c	243,852$163,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,535.9	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Ecuador	66c	159,881$105,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,893.14	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Germany	40c	156,102$62,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,588.77	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Germany	37c	152,946$56,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,742.88	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Germany	36c	135,537$48,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,879.54	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Germany	33c	117,650$38,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,696	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Germany	33c	104,340$34,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,775.52	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Germany	33c	104,199$34,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,429.75	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ecuador	54c	98,098$53,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,939.76	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Ecuador	65c	88,171$57,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,881.35	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Germany	30c	71,000$21,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,300.09	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Ecuador	64c	60,000$38,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,599.97	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Ecuador	64c	52,140$33,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,584.62	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Ecuador	61c	46,431$28,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,308.1	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Ecuador	61c	40,000$24,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,599.83	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Ecuador	70c	35,000$24,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,500	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ecuador	67c	24,305$16,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,062.58	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Germany	34c	23,529$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ecuador	56c	22,814$12,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,993.29	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Germany	33c	22,500$7,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,425	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Germany	41c	21,904$9,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,017.27	141	32.6%46 W · 95 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Germany	37c	21,523$7,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,979.28	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Germany	38c	20,000$7,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,599.96	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Germany	31c	19,998$6,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,266.03	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ecuador	65c	17,835$11,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,316.68	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Germany	32c	17,114$5,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,476.45	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Germany	38c	16,502$6,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,333.72	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ecuador	66c	16,472$10,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,568.39	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Germany	37c	16,378$6,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,021.47	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ecuador	63c	16,000$10,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,879.95	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ecuador	63c	15,991$10,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,871.83	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ecuador	63c	15,845$10,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,822.72	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Germany	52c	15,500$8,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,027.19	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Germany	32c	15,082$4,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,826.11	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Germany	38c	15,070$5,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,744.09	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Germany	33c	14,389$4,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,731.01	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Germany	35c	14,286$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Ecuador	63c	14,000$8,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,155	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Ecuador	73c	13,635$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,634.82	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Germany	38c	13,158$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Germany	36c	12,992$4,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,672.47	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Germany	39c	12,821$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Ecuador	60c	12,759$7,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,058.06	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Ecuador	62c	12,139$7,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,554.92	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Ecuador	63c	12,000$7,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,407.99	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Germany	32c	11,660$3,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,731.2	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Germany	48c	11,151$5,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,398.04	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ecuador	63c	10,721$6,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,008.86	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Germany	37c	10,270$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Germany	45c	10,228$4,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,636.57	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Germany	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Ecuador	61c	10,000$6,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,899.97	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Germany	32c	9,355$2,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,993.59	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7439…8feebacked Germany	52c	8,373$4,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,381.79	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Ecuador	61c	8,198$5,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,197.22	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Ecuador	59c	8,000$4,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,280	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2adc…7e50backed Germany	26c	7,864$2,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,007	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Ecuador	65c	7,677$4,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,716.81	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Germany	33c	7,363$2,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,408.43	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Ecuador	64c	7,318$4,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,666.91	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Ecuador	63c	6,800$4,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,503.99	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Germany	28c	6,638$1,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,873.8	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Germany	33c	6,309$2,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,082.97	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ecuador	65c	6,225$4,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,202.98	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ecuador	65c	6,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Ecuador	62c	5,750$3,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,162	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Germany	46c	5,452$2,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,482.71	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Germany	45c	5,363$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Ecuador	65c	5,318$3,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,873.84	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Germany	39c	5,113$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Germany	29c	5,015$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.38	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Germany	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Ecuador	63c	5,000$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.96	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Germany	33c	4,975$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.75	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f0…987bbacked Germany	41c	4,827$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Germany	2c	4,599$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.59	198	50.5%100 W · 98 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d2…73b8backed Germany	32c	4,548$1,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.98	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	40cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Germany	4c	4,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ecuador	70c	4,424$3,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,307.84	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ecuador	59c	4,334$2,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,771.42	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Germany	34c	4,320$1,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.63	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Ecuador	64c	4,219$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.75	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Germany	35c	4,142$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449.54	142	43.7%62 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Germany	31c	4,018$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Ecuador	44c	4,005$1,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,242.67	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Ecuador	68c	4,000$2,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Ecuador	63c	3,922$2,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,433.59	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Germany	45c	3,841$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,723.07	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Ecuador	59c	3,822$2,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,574.6	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Ecuador	64c	3,796$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,382.07	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Germany	39c	3,617$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Germany	31c	3,601$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.95	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Germany	19c	3,564$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.11	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Germany	54c	3,499$1,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,903.49	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Germany	34c	3,466$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.44	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Germany	43c	3,451$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.34	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Germany	35c	3,429$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-1.5)this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event