Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac795039acb6716b7172b2cd3852657915e45134088247c45fe3edb4087ae02b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 97,471$65,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,589.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 37c | 36,109$13,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,291.22 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 29c | 17,498$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.42 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 34c | 10,340$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.39 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 8,897$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 7,914$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 32c | 7,395$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.84 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Over | 36c | 5,578$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.56 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.96 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 4,848$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 31c | 3,325$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 3,188$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.66 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 33c | 2,043$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.17 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Under | 68c | 1,979$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.43 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 32c | 1,712$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.41 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 28c | 1,710$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.37 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 17c | 1,324$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 1,200$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.71 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 1,181$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.05 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 1,076$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.2 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 1,073$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,048$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.31 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 31c | 974$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.14 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…4da0backed Over | 47c | 859.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Over | 53c | 843.24$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 32c | 835.03$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 53c | 769.28$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Over | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 76c | 664.72$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 660.71$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.26 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Under | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 69c | 548.77$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 21c | 542.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed Under | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 487.98$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 66c | 487.27$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 471.31$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked Under | 64c | 470.62$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.42 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 29c | 463.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 444.2$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 66c | 430.16$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 55c | 413$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Under | 62c | 405.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 75c | 383.56$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 366.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 32c | 336.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a93fbacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 29c | 324$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Over | 33c | 309.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…ff1ebacked Over | 35c | 306$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6599backed Over | 35c | 305.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…be6fbacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…ab11backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…56fbbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…d5a5backed Over | 34c | 290.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…7173backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 284.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…63d5backed Over | 32c | 257.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 51c | 251.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 76c | 240.88$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 68c | 240.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 37c | 235.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 35c | 231.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 35c | 220.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 69c | 216.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Over | 44c | 212.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…ca95backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 176.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 52c | 166.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 68c | 161.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 34c | 149.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Over | 46c | 132.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 50c | 124.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 120.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 68c | 120.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…ec70backed Over | 35c | 112.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 70c | 111.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…87edbacked Over | 35c | 110.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…5349backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…aedebacked Over | 35c | 97.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…5cdabacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…1d03backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.