Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb1773d3f33f5590bf1c8955c0ba143a8f36cbe48175d4352e8a44699e6ea38

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $364,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $512,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,202 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over	40c	103,593$41,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,593.28	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	60c	31,892$19,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,135.37	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	59c	31,170$18,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,361.36	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed Over	39c	20,743$8,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,690.21	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	14,760$6,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,734.06	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under	61c	10,121$6,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,222.59	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over	39c	7,589$2,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,629.56	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	61c	7,500$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,550	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	60c	6,179$3,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,729.18	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	39c	5,920$2,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,632.67	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over	37c	5,628$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,527.61	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	61c	4,904$2,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,982.57	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under	61c	4,489$2,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,738.19	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	61c	4,218$2,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,583.45	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Over	36c	4,167$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,666.67	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	64c	4,000$2,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,560	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	61c	4,000$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under	64c	3,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.99	137	46.7%64 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	61c	2,661$1,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,627.49	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	38c	2,645$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.85	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	55c	2,404$1,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.5	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over	39c	2,259$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.82	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	60c	2,223$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.8	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	40c	2,187$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.2	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	61c	1,727$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.09	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	61c	1,622$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.54	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	61c	1,484$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.17	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over	68c	1,457$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.21	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under	61c	1,418$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.37	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-8.4wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	55c	1,325$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.55	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under	60c	1,296$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.6	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	62c	1,250$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.79	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	61c	1,200$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	37c	1,185$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.67	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under	34c	1,126$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.38	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	61c	1,111$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.71	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under	61c	1,100$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	55c	1,082$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x896a…f878backed Over	40c	1,051$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.69	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under	3c	1,049$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	137	27%37 W · 100 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	36c	1,022$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.22	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	61c	1,000$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	47c	946.79$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.33	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under	60c	900$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	310	46.5%144 W · 166 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	68c	882.35$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.35	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	60c	875$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	56c	848.66$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.62	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under	2c	794$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under	60c	775$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	63c	751.67$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.58	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	734.14$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.81	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over	39c	723.08$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.08	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	61c	600$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	61c	600$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	60c	597.89$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.4	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	31c	544.83$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.9	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	60c	535.95$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.15	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over	37c	500$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314	276	37.7%104 W · 172 L	+15.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	33c	480.16$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.19	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	60c	476$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.37	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	55c	444.33$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.1	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x545f…66dbbacked Under	29c	438.69$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.23	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	61c	431.62$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.37	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under	34c	408.5$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.89	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over	38c	400$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	61c	400$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	61c	400$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	61c	400$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	61c	400$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	60c	400$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	61c	400$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over	70c	388.3$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.26	295	58.3%172 W · 123 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	59c	367.82$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.42	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	66c	366.65$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.66	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	38c	356.15$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.21	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	32c	348.34$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	61c	327.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…dff7backed Under	61c	327.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	91	36.3%33 W · 58 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	61c	312$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.32	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	61c	312$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.32	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2840…7059backed Under	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	38c	297.77$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	37c	279.96$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.96	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Under	59c	274.96$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.22	320	46.6%149 W · 171 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	59c	268.15$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.21	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Over	36c	258.33$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.33	79	63.3%50 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	63c	256.35$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.15	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under	61c	245.9$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	74	71.6%53 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…34d5backed Under	61c	244$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.84	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a0…29acbacked Under	62c	241.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	41c	229.75$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.26	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under	61c	219$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.52	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14af…02f2backed Over	40c	212.28$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.37	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	60c	208$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.8	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	61c	204$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.44	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	60c	204$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.4	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event