TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,062 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dae…fff9backed Over36c1,373$494 inWon+$878.916631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c1,060$684 inLost-$683.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Under67c1,000$670 inLost-$67013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c727.81$472 inLost-$472.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over36c500$180 inWon+$32054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under64c500$320 inLost-$32095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over34c455.62$155 inWon+$300.7110142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over35c373.99$132 inWon+$242.243,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Under65c355.95$231 inLost-$231.376749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over35c355.95$125 inWon+$231.3759752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over35c310.6$109 inWon+$201.892,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c303.77$110 inWon+$194.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over35c300$105 inWon+$19512724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under65c198.9$129 inLost-$129.163,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under67c149.25$100 inLost-$10028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over33c147.61$49 inWon+$99.091,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over34c131.82$45 inWon+$877945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under66c113.64$75 inLost-$7533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under64c91.85$59 inLost-$58.7977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over35c70.28$25 inWon+$45.71,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c54.36$36 inLost-$35.723,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37b…63a1backed Under63c34$21 inLost-$21.422951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a0…d215backed Under65c32.31$21 inLost-$21540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over34c32.3$11 inWon+$21.241,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under65c31.84$21 inLost-$20.771,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05c…a57bbacked Under68c30.88$21 inLost-$213650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under64c30$19 inLost-$19.341,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under64c24.09$15 inLost-$15.481,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under64c20$13 inLost-$12.8754859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…0572backed Under66c18.18$12 inLost-$12560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.