Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce735df38d04ba470a3b5728f131fa39b87166cfe3371816abf43ee7fe4115e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 3,245$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,481$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 41c | 1,644$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.68 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 28c | 900$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.07 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…f878backed Over | 25c | 794.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Over | 27c | 732.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…5c2dbacked Over | 29c | 682.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over | 48c | 499.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.92 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 462.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 34c | 426.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 76c | 421.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Over | 24c | 409.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094c…c7a7backed Over | 26c | 380.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 39c | 259.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 24c | 229.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…55d6backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 170.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 167.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…1b89backed Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 11c | 126.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 25c | 121.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 75c | 118.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 19c | 113.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 50c | 109.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 31c | 98.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Over | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 74c | 86.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…dda9backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Over | 57c | 81.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 74c | 78.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 75c | 61.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…b36cbacked Over | 25c | 58.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…202ebacked Over | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Over | 26c | 51.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 47.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Under | 76c | 45.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 32c | 40.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…62f1backed Under | 52c | 38.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 75c | 34.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 75c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked Under | 76c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.