Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb993541aa9b0555e9446c3b094a8f8893d701f5a6e9c98dc2d9acb8c6eeed296

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $414,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $431,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,527 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	77,774$45,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,887.11	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over	20c	57,278$11,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,377.36	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over	65c	50,878$32,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,975.44	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	51c	13,267$6,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,766	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under	38c	9,009$3,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,564.62	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	70c	8,866$6,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,679.33	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	57c	6,688$3,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,869.3	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	49c	4,999$2,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,545.68	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under	71c	4,955$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,454.76	128	46.9%60 W · 68 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under	35c	4,709$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060.81	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over	39c	4,634$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825.49	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Over	55c	4,509$2,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,469.21	246	20.3%50 W · 196 L	-21.8wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over	51c	4,357$2,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,220.67	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under	49c	4,237$2,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160.71	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	38c	4,196$1,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,590.06	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over	35c	3,705$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.6	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over	59c	3,702$2,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,184.43	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	25c	3,567$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.95	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under	45c	3,553$1,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960.88	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	68c	3,422$2,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.82	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f82…a84abacked Over	44c	3,314$1,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-3.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	35c	3,291$1,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,139	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	67c	3,017$2,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.65	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Over	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.98	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	41c	2,987$1,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,754.39	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under	61c	2,831$1,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.77	150	40%60 W · 90 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under	35c	2,619$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.97	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	46c	2,572$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,397.84	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over	37c	2,188$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.01	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	64c	2,000$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.92	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over	31c	1,830$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.34	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545f…66dbbacked Under	54c	1,810$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.84	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	38c	1,764$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.28	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under	57c	1,755$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.44	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	64c	1,700$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.98	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over	29c	1,609$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.67	270	32.2%87 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over	56c	1,499$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.44	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over	50c	1,491$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over	2c	1,250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	279	31.9%89 W · 190 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x896a…f878backed Over	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over	53c	1,122$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.47	229	32.8%75 W · 154 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over	31c	1,100$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	52	9.6%5 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	59c	1,064$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.9	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Over	35c	1,000$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.71	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+7.4wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over	43c	999.99$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	39c	995.24$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.82	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	15c	994.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	47c	924.06$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.11	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	65c	916.73$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.9	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over	2c	833.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	29c	807.2$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.28	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over	35c	795.19$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.12	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under	55c	785.1$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.3	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over	44c	761.3$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.97	193	42%81 W · 112 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Over	15c	733.33$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over	33c	717.17$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Under	46c	656.93$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.93	220	32.3%71 W · 149 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	31c	614.35$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.91	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over	55c	607.34$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.05	295	58.3%172 W · 123 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under	54c	606.09$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.02	236	37.7%89 W · 147 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over	4c	553.74$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Under	40c	524.58$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.75	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	512.06$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.91	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over	42c	497.61$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	62c	483.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over	32c	446.36$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.48	175	34.9%61 W · 114 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	68c	440.96$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.68	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	62c	437.16$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.33	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under	55c	432.87$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.41	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	22c	430.52$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.49	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	64c	427.7$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.03	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	62c	417.39$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.52	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	+8.3wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc44…fa40backed Over	50c	411.62$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Over	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a24…545dbacked Over	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	44c	370.48$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.61	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under	59c	358.13$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.58	196	49.5%97 W · 99 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc57a…1420backed Under	37c	351.35$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.35	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over	42c	346.99$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.74	167	55.1%92 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	124	19.4%24 W · 100 L	-10.7wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd298…bc1cbacked Under	61c	307.71$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.46	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	57c	303$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.8	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Over	44c	300$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	150	44%66 W · 84 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Over	16c	296.88$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	114	36.8%42 W · 72 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…6655backed Over	63c	296.54$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.82	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	70c	286.23$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.23	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Over	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over	65c	261.54$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	174	59.8%104 W · 70 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a2…dbbcbacked Over	47c	255.32$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under	38c	250$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	194	48.5%94 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked Under	36c	249.78$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.06	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Under	36c	247.92$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.86	211	46.9%99 W · 112 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under	36c	247.92$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.08	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d50…e29fbacked Under	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	67	68.7%46 W · 21 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over	60c	234.15$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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