Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29b1daa0084c7736540d7b480d99fa6c5b033c6d27553d0559e15e70bc32490

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $129,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,302 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	8,731$4,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,942.75	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	71c	6,500$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	37c	4,431$1,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,792.62	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	75c	4,396$3,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.72	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over	27c	4,116$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,990.27	175	44%77 W · 98 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	59c	2,691$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.79	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Over	51c	2,426$1,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.78	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	73c	2,267$1,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,665.64	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under	9c	2,100$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+12.6wins	+0.25per pick	14cpaid	+138.3%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under	67c	1,984$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324	152	57.9%88 W · 64 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over	54c	1,851$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.46	224	41.5%93 W · 131 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	71c	1,752$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.44	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over	61c	1,618$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.84	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	52c	1,544$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.17	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Over	26c	1,540$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.6	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	70c	1,418$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.94	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over	39c	1,282$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.05	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	63c	1,272$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.87	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under	7c	1,253$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.1	69	10.1%7 W · 62 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under	1c	1,250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	52c	1,203$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.53	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	43c	1,064$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.61	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Over	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+7.4wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over	40c	999$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.4	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under	71c	997.6$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.23	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	5c	993.76$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.47	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Over	62c	967.74$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.74	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	73c	948.55$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.44	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over	72c	888$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.52	157	63.7%100 W · 57 L	+16.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+16%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	27c	878.99$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.34	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29df…f3d2backed Under	74c	822.65$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.76	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	41c	784.56$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.67	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	6c	649.9$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.01	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	72c	630.14$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.19	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over	25c	601.69$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.26	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over	80c	601.46$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.46	95	73.7%70 W · 25 L	+15.1wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	26c	599.07$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.07	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	12c	598.67$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.66	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	27c	596.89$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.43	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d6…972dbacked Under	50c	586.88$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.44	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	53c	561$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under	30c	519.16$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.83	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	27c	517.71$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.83	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	70c	511$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.7	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	32c	506.45$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.95	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	28c	500$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	138	13%18 W · 120 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	20c	493.21$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.64	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb05…accbbacked Under	75c	447.73$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.8	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	44c	413.31$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.25	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	29c	409.72$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.2	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Under	70c	400$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	73cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	8c	379$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	31c	365.98$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.48	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9799…68bcbacked Under	72c	346.6$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	73cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over	59c	338.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	174	62.1%108 W · 66 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	74c	336.04$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.67	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	75c	319.06$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.88	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Under	72c	302.78$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	97	59.8%58 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Under	6c	296$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	157	45.9%72 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over	34c	287.21$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.56	105	32.4%34 W · 71 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over	56c	286.57$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.82	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	49c	262.19$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.47	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under	7c	251.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	112	16.1%18 W · 94 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+56%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over	51c	250.98$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.98	194	48.5%94 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under	40c	245$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under	42c	224$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.08	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	27c	221.99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.05	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	60c	220.14$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.82	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over	51c	220$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.8	127	24.4%31 W · 96 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	36c	213.87$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.82	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under	74c	203.18$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeda…623fbacked Under	41c	201.56$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.55	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	49.1%110 W · 114 L	+20.3wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over	51c	194.12$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.12	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over	44c	191.98$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.47	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over	51c	190.75$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.47	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under	63c	188.49$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.46	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a2…ad5abacked Under	73c	178.85$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.56	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	74cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	72c	176.05$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.33	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	41c	171$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.44	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	+10.6wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	123	43.9%54 W · 69 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Under	73c	152.05$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	165	24.2%40 W · 125 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over	59c	144.07$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.07	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eea…df80backed Under	70c	142.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.72	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	59cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	31c	141$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.29	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under	73c	140$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.2	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	29c	137.93$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.93	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under	25c	137.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.44	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	29c	135$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.55	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	284	44.4%126 W · 158 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	32c	128.13$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.13	327	40.7%133 W · 194 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc5…5e53backed Over	56c	120$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	73c	120$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.6	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over	24c	114$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.64	266	31.2%83 W · 183 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	38c	108.47$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.77	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	60c	108.07$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.84	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf074…13e5backed Over	30c	103.33$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.33	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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