TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6dc5…5e53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT8061.3%49 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmanebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.14
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$89.03
Cagliari: Aleksandar Vukic vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Mauthausen: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Choinskibacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.81
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.81
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+475%+$142.5
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+294.1%+$44.12
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+63.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+526.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+819.4%+$163.88
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+234.4%+$140.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$35.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.