World Politics · resolved market
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506e75508cd1585cb27fa1e36eabcb4fd519cc15d041dea66666b1eea7d61e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 72c | 6,558$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.12 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 29c | 5,626$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.63 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 77c | 2,957$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.57 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 29c | 2,649$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.31 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 50c | 2,308$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.37 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…d891backed Yes | 72c | 2,256$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 25c | 1,840$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.65 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 11c | 1,836$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…91afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,793$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 30c | 1,480$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 37c | 1,403$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.84 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 74c | 1,379$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.84 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 57c | 1,321$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 37c | 1,050$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…97acbacked Yes | 1c | 1,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 79c | 1,039$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…e42fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x748b…988cbacked Yes | 67c | 722$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 2c | 712.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…f6d5backed Yes | 70c | 705.66$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 42c | 696.61$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.14 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…f5f7backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 25c | 622.12$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.59 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 72c | 583.79$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.57 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0e…d854backed Yes | 3c | 508$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…c592backed No | 26c | 455.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 25c | 428.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…36f6backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…ac24backed Yes | 5c | 399.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…b608backed Yes | 17c | 381.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb6…b74bbacked Yes | 7c | 375.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 26c | 370.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.1 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 11c | 365.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 9c | 277.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…d6acbacked Yes | 67c | 238.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 73c | 232.18$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 65c | 223.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 39c | 217.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…22babacked Yes | 74c | 214.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked No | 40c | 172.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 62c | 171.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked No | 76c | 154.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…02eebacked No | 28c | 146.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Yes | 68c | 140.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 24c | 138.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 133.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…703ebacked Yes | 30c | 128.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 74c | 121.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…20d4backed No | 38c | 119.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…75e4backed No | 47c | 111.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 77c | 111$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…0d6dbacked Yes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked Yes | 63c | 99.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 32c | 96.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 77c | 96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 71c | 95.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 72c | 82.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed No | 61c | 81.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…d508backed No | 25c | 80.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…5e53backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 77c | 72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…d97ebacked No | 40c | 71.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 19c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…3695backed Yes | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 60.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 73c | 52.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…a188backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f9abbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…e4f1backed Yes | 69c | 43.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb0…3231backed Yes | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 46c | 38.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328b…fa07backed No | 46c | 37.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcf…e371backed No | 41c | 36.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed No | 76c | 32.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 69c | 31.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 40c | 31.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…1838backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…0d38backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…9dd5backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed No | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6667…77febacked Yes | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 61c | 22.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed No | 56c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…2673backed Yes | 69c | 21.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…5c54backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…ba81backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 72c | 20.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.