Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354f68b41feb9047adfb51a3e78dad6cdc105bf1ca012406a5447c784649a0a6

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $313,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $331,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,925 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes	67c	57,783$38,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,260.4	31	29%9 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	27c	26,281$7,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,154.44	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked No	33c	21,112$6,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,967.11	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	72c	13,178$9,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,675.42	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	11c	10,851$1,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.54	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	15c	10,106$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.29	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	30c	8,483$2,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,509	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	15c	7,040$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.3	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No	34c	6,600$2,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,244	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x895f…cfadbacked No	17c	6,188$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes	66c	6,065$4,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,063.26	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes	76c	5,925$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424.53	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	1c	5,669$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.52	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	31c	5,581$1,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,755.04	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5d…6128backed No	22c	5,258$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	15c	5,070$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.33	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	27c	4,203$1,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.58	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	32c	4,034$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.13	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	33c	3,508$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.73	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	19c	3,407$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.75	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	19c	3,172$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.7	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	35c	3,064$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.22	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	24c	3,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.99	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	17c	2,834$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.29	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	77c	2,738$2,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.36	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	15c	2,669$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.92	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	34c	2,449$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.86	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	31c	2,423$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.97	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2320…4869backed Yes	65c	2,356$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.73	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49f…9f01backed Yes	77c	2,189$1,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.93	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	75cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	33c	1,953$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.01	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…d348backed Yes	75c	1,926$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.24	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	17c	1,835$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.52	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Yes	78c	1,784$1,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.57	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	17c	1,777$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.07	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	16c	1,759$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.44	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	75c	1,756$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.84	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	40c	1,666$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.84	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No	31c	1,610$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.58	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	24c	1,600$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	27c	1,548$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.21	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	17c	1,469$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.5	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	66c	1,467$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.34	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	36c	1,459$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.38	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed No	26c	1,402$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	59c	1,401$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.42	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No	24c	1,286$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.6	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-59%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	16c	1,251$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.93	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…049fbacked No	35c	1,232$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.4	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	10c	1,199$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.73	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	34c	1,131$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.54	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	71c	1,111$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.19	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	13c	944.13$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.68	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes	79c	941.2$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.65	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255e…5456backed Yes	68c	897.79$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.44	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	28c	871.07$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.58	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	76c	870.06$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.81	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	13c	857.76$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.58	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed No	29c	849.96$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	67c	830.75$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.75	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe098…c26abacked Yes	73c	822.28$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.28	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	12c	808.6$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.93	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No	16c	800.05$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.01	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c01…797dbacked No	17c	774.24$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.62	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	22cpaid	-88%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	51c	744.85$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.87	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	25c	728.65$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.7	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	49c	712.94$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.95	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Yes	77c	654.52$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.04	350	41.1%144 W · 206 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	72c	630$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.14	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	24c	622.13$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.31	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	69c	580.73$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.94	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No	26c	578$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.28	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…974ebacked No	25c	560.08$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x601f…76adbacked No	23c	555.87$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.3	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	53c	548.98$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.96	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	52c	502.55$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.81	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93c2…d95fbacked Yes	65c	500$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	53c	499.99$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.99	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes	59c	474.19$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.74	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	30c	468.93$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.41	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes	47c	468.18$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.14	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06ed…88d3backed No	43c	459.79$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Yes	73c	410.26$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.26	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5441…b7d8backed Yes	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes	46c	399.99$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.99	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…f88ebacked Yes	50c	396.85$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.85	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…5e1dbacked Yes	76c	394.03$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed Yes	79c	388$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.48	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	24c	355.83$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.4	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	70c	349.23$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.35	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes	56c	344.86$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.62	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec7…8f5cbacked Yes	47c	343.6$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…e783backed Yes	64c	311.87$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.87	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed No	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…b1bcbacked Yes	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Yes	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	105	34.3%36 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f5…28e0backed Yes	67c	299.95$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event