Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62ca5b74a2bd508bacf68372f44840c47df8d16fe6ccc11388c496694615b759

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,785 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0121…f722backed Yes	37c	3,646$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,284.75	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	17c	3,000$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,484.37	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	44c	2,987$1,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315.88	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	80c	2,967$2,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,369.35	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes	40c	2,941$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,761.47	229	59.4%136 W · 93 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No	73c	2,357$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.3	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb05d…dcdcbacked Yes	29c	2,112$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.69	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,659.99	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	15c	1,773$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,510.38	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	19c	1,610$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked No	80c	1,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c36…2a6abacked No	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	22c	999.96$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.97	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes	41c	932.55$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.13	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	26c	896.85$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.65	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	18c	803.77$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.42	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed Yes	14c	799.99$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687.99	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	39c	737.99$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.37	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	16c	612.85$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.45	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	72c	604.99$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.19	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	47c	600$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	68c	587$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.16	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	8c	585.07$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b6…07dcbacked Yes	18c	505.64$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+177.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d9…65c9backed Yes	31c	491.32$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.3	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	62c	485.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.06	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	53c	451.7$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.44	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	48c	438.69$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.4	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	7c	420$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes	34c	405.1$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.58	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed01…0ceabacked Yes	31c	373.9$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.9	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…1b8fbacked Yes	30c	352.99$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.19	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe17b…459fbacked Yes	16c	349.99$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	11cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	69c	335.32$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.75	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	15c	323.6$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.06	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7007…5c07backed Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.03	148	41.9%62 W · 86 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	67c	303.03$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.03	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No	70c	300$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	36c	271.21$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.32	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	68c	259.25$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.09	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67cf…2371backed Yes	32c	258.95$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.95	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed Yes	27c	247.98$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.76	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	40c	232.15$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.55	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	60c	227.62$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.39	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.29	176	64.8%114 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes	29c	197.59$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.79	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	70c	185.85$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.93	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84f8…d348backed No	78c	179.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.1	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd787…c146backed Yes	15c	179.07$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.21	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	33c	175$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.44	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	26c	171.27$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.29	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes	21c	167.18$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.18	279	40.5%113 W · 166 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked No	73c	166.64$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.27	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	22c	166.63$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	14c	165.42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.26	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0287…97b5backed Yes	31c	161.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.29	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	13c	160.16$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.34	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	70c	154$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc52a…88babacked Yes	24c	144.2$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.96	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2b…ec21backed Yes	26c	134.62$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.62	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204c…1e26backed Yes	30c	129.94$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.96	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x636b…dcbfbacked Yes	15c	129.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.69	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+57%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes	33c	127.65$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.85	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	30c	125.76$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.48	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc37…781dbacked Yes	14c	123.23$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.5	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3040…6b90backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	60c	110.53$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.58	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	24c	106.18$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.7	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0016…fe14backed No	62c	106.14$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4b…e72fbacked Yes	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.1	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa1…a37bbacked No	75c	99.41$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	14c	98.14$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.4	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes	21c	96.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.9	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3441…d1aabacked Yes	23c	96$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.92	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+83.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No	75c	95.94$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.59	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b3…98acbacked Yes	20c	94.55$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.64	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.18per pick	28cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	16c	91.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.52	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes	24c	88.77$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.48	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No	19c	85.66$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	215	65.1%140 W · 75 L	+16.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ab…4921backed Yes	29c	82.76$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c4f…ca52backed Yes	26c	80$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.2	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+30%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab20…d9e2backed No	77c	78.88$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-3.6wins	-0.21per pick	39cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	78c	78.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.27	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	18c	73.61$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.03	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	30c	71.71$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.86	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	23c	70$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.9	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	30c	70$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.1	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	49c	66.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.66	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed No	68c	66.12$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.76	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ed…6d16backed Yes	34c	63$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No	73c	62.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.77	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	79c	61.78$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.71	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	32c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	19c	59.75$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.18	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	76c	54.9$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.46	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked No	72c	53.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.97	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No	71c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7c…406cbacked No	74c	47.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.48	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e66…bbd2backed Yes	43c	46.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.61	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9941…e1cfbacked Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	35cpaid	+79.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event