Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffd932a00005687ff2d811a15355c2501ba7ec8a52cbc27a2524ecfe272a67e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $158,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $157,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,239 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	37c	25,091$9,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,363	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	72c	12,280$8,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,415.09	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	+11.1wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+24%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	59c	11,253$6,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,669.03	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb850…7597backed Yes	1c	8,177$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	2cpaid	+370.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	55c	7,701$4,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,444.61	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f77…9da4backed Yes	42c	7,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+8.3wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	57c	6,747$3,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,869.51	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	75c	4,306$3,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075.62	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes	56c	4,298$2,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.15	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	59c	3,738$2,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531.01	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	67c	2,924$1,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.19	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed No	70c	2,864$2,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.7	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	26c	2,584$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,900.71	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	78c	2,501$1,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.11	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	30c	2,411$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.49	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	33c	2,368$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.04	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	33c	2,243$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.98	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	33c	2,224$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.78	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	61c	1,977$1,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.37	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	58c	1,968$1,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.51	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	27c	1,906$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.99	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	43c	1,743$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.77	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	26c	1,722$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	27c	1,691$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	36c	1,576$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.72	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	60c	1,500$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	66c	1,500$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.99	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes	50c	1,395$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	46c	1,298$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.11	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes	34c	1,189$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea24…084fbacked Yes	41c	1,173$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc68a…39d5backed No	60c	1,172$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.4	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No	59c	1,119$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.17	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	46c	1,110$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.04	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd7…ac41backed No	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed No	67c	970.14$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	27c	938.67$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.87	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…af04backed Yes	41c	900$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed No	59c	900$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	28c	868$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.04	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	42c	848.08$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.07	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked No	67c	846.94$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.49	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	42c	814.29$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	25c	804.49$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.99	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	58c	800$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes	33c	768.58$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed No	75c	751.35$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.19	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	35c	720$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	67c	702.47$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.86	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No	59c	683.88$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.39	191	25.1%48 W · 143 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	33c	663.81$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	39c	638.51$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.13	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	32c	614.63$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.88	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes	25c	585.46$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.71	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	71c	551$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.8	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked No	59c	545.76$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.76	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	33c	503.64$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.96	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	68c	499.99$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	42c	494.97$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.76	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	24c	481$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.13	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	61c	431$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.41	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	61c	368.14$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.76	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb05…d19fbacked No	71c	356.72$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.68	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0b…9c4ebacked Yes	43c	348.84$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes	38c	343.23$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.43	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	65c	329.07$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.21	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	69c	325.45$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	56c	319.33$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.63	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Yes	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	28.1%38 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes	28c	310.46$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.93	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0016…fe14backed No	66c	303.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked Yes	34c	299.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1416…670cbacked Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed No	49c	286.36$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.64	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No	58c	279.21$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.03	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes	35c	272$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	58c	269.67$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.02	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	70c	263$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.3	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed No	77c	258.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.41	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+7.5wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes	32c	250$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	66.3%59 W · 30 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3b…8758backed Yes	41c	239.8$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27af…cee0backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked Yes	40c	215$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	18c	207.71$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.51	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c05…71cdbacked Yes	46c	205.73$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed No	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3c3…e4c9backed No	71c	200$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	123	65.9%81 W · 42 L	+13.5wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1707…93c4backed Yes	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.4	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Yes	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	152	46.1%70 W · 82 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e7…779fbacked Yes	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x746e…3e68backed Yes	41c	199.17$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	68c	189.31$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.58	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes	37c	189.19$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	176	64.8%114 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4af5…0530backed Yes	33c	179.34$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.73	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	29c	179.25$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.21	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	59c	178.38$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.89	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event