Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf26cf8cd8f05a6db2cab3e881d8f28119643f71b3f5282afabca8214f70b5f3b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $119,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $121,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,427 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7bfb…9109backed Yes	8c	49,293$3,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,943.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b5…bef4backed No	75c	4,090$3,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,022.41	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	25c	3,857$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.01	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb05d…dcdcbacked Yes	40c	993.4$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.27	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	55c	876.96$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.63	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	21c	845.99$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.26	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	15c	716$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.4	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb05…d19fbacked No	79c	681.96$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.21	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	71c	640.97$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.52	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed Yes	22c	406.14$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.23	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes	17c	380$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	3c	360.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	20c	331.81$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.36	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Yes	25c	289.96$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.49	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	4c	285.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d26…b4abbacked Yes	6c	189.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ef…dddabacked No	78c	154.97$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.58	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	10c	135.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No	77c	131.16$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.17	240	43.3%104 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	76c	127$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.48	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d9…22d8backed Yes	22c	111.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	18c	111.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aafbacked Yes	25c	104$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Yes	18c	99.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	-13.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e5b…1c1bbacked Yes	29c	97.93$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	24c	93.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.81	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	12c	88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Yes	24c	85.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44df…5a72backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Yes	21c	78.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	18c	76.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed Yes	21c	75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad7b…5c8dbacked No	78c	70$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4615…5ccbbacked No	78c	69.53$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	51	72.5%37 W · 14 L	+7.6wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	21c	61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked No	78c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.1	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed No	76c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5838…6a3abacked Yes	22c	59.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes	21c	52.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7dd…e5e4backed Yes	22c	49.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	77c	37.14$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.54	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	76c	30.74$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.36	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	77c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.14	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event