Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a2818738a7da24081b8c5f1ad4028d093645a40417dda3e382c0661cd8952f

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $191,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $194,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,543 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	43c	27,822$11,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,873.44	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked No	48c	18,448$8,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,580.15	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	35c	8,999$3,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,862.48	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	45c	6,962$3,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,806.64	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	34c	6,947$2,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,616.61	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes	53c	5,950$3,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,132	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	48c	5,548$2,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,888.93	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	43c	5,390$2,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,069.14	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	53c	4,461$2,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,342.75	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	12c	4,030$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.53	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Yes	57c	4,000$2,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,280	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	62c	4,000$2,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,479.97	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae4…0168backed Yes	63c	3,978$2,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,505.84	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed No	37c	3,796$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,405.55	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	37c	3,757$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,351.89	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes	68c	2,935$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed No	35c	2,854$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,855.24	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	52c	2,818$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,477.07	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Yes	63c	2,718$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	95	40%38 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	48c	2,699$1,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.38	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d9…65c9backed Yes	56c	2,694$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.01	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	39c	2,415$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,467.47	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	33c	2,303$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550.42	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes	55c	2,293$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked No	37c	2,221$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,404.17	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…f88ebacked Yes	64c	2,124$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…d348backed Yes	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.97	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	45c	1,824$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.62	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	58c	1,602$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.69	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6b…8189backed Yes	60c	1,492$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	40c	1,400$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.95	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	60c	1,330$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes	46c	1,304$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.84	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	39c	1,284$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$778.48	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	40c	1,170$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.19	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	44c	1,141$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.11	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	62c	1,140$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.65	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	45c	1,128$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.53	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Yes	51c	1,108$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.23	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	55c	1,107$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	39c	1,095$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.15	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	59c	1,052$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.66	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	42c	1,036$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.35	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64ac…a232backed Yes	64c	1,005$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.78	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	49cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked No	37c	1,000$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No	40c	1,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6c…596bbacked Yes	63c	999.99$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.99	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	41c	998.86$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.41	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	59c	883$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.97	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed No	40c	856.82$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.71	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	27c	823.42$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.43	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	39c	816.47$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.01	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes	67c	800.91$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.69	210	50%105 W · 105 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7025…229dbacked Yes	60c	800$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c81…8583backed Yes	56c	800$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.22	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes	65c	790.73$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.65	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-30%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	37c	758.79$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.86	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	54c	748.18$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.04	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Yes	65c	746.4$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.14	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No	45c	742.56$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.68	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6513…7f56backed Yes	63c	730.07$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.45	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x769c…3d88backed No	38c	717$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.54	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	36c	715.92$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.61	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No	37c	708.53$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.13	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes	60c	666.67$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	43c	664.57$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.28	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	53c	645$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.52	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7676…07c2backed Yes	65c	629.17$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	38c	624.99$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.71	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	37c	599.29$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.35	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Yes	58c	574.13$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes	64c	555$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.2	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No	54c	533.76$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.81	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	59c	502.5$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.5	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Yes	54c	500.13$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.96	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	44c	500$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f00…7addbacked Yes	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No	34c	499.98$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.99	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c7c…d095backed Yes	55c	499.98$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.99	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa655…9e3fbacked Yes	61c	491.8$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes	57c	490.32$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	251	60.6%152 W · 99 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No	38c	487.65$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.78	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bb…b759backed Yes	61c	482.29$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes	63c	476.19$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+16.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+27%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	41c	455.8$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.99	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	36c	445.97$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.75	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No	47c	443.45$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.99	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	42c	430$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.2	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79c…5731backed Yes	4c	422$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Yes	62c	405.78$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Yes	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed Yes	63c	396.83$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes	60c	396.3$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.32	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	37c	391.62$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.72	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x746e…3e68backed Yes	61c	390.16$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8a…69c3backed Yes	52c	388.07$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	43c	384.86$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.73	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed No	33c	369.68$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.2	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae4…cc88backed Yes	63c	358.31$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.32	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event