TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa655…9e3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$116.22
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$18.73
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$34.03
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$88.72
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+28%+$8.41
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$253.27
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$110
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.9%+$40.58
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$184.29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.1%+$48.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$25.64
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$141.98
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$43.48
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$97.78
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$41.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$42.31
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$14.71
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$25.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+80.8%+$129.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$2.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.