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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Top Esports, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$964,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,197,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $964,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x551e…b0e0backed 100 Thieves9c157,557$14,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,690.13327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked 100 Thieves16c95,999$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,749.837751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bbe…5503backed 100 Thieves17c71,032$12,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,096.11414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked 100 Thieves19c65,000$12,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,049.971526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked 100 Thieves14c57,501$8,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,258.873852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17db…5f6dbacked Top Esports79c33,615$26,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,103.694472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+38.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked Top Esports80c19,765$15,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,953.074864.6%31 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed 100 Thieves22c14,080$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed 100 Thieves18c12,127$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.7818340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked 100 Thieves18c11,400$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Top Esports78c10,731$8,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.923964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed 100 Thieves22c9,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.972733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed 100 Thieves22c7,666$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.861118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Top Esports80c7,413$5,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.654353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked 100 Thieves16c7,109$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.84928.6%14 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9886…6856backed 100 Thieves15c6,114$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.951520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-58.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed 100 Thieves20c6,078$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.9714236.6%52 W · 90 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Top Esports78c6,055$4,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.7332350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Top Esports80c5,611$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.292965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked 100 Thieves20c5,606$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.539548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6585…957bbacked 100 Thieves18c5,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.991520%3 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Top Esports80c5,279$4,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.3920252%105 W · 97 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x939f…6d5ebacked 100 Thieves19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008728.7%25 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked 100 Thieves22c5,133$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.388756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Top Esports80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d9…cd44backed Top Esports78c4,902$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.152142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x594c…d256backed 100 Thieves4c4,630$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-74.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed 100 Thieves17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6807030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed 100 Thieves11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa326…4556backed Top Esports80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502572%18 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Top Esports80c3,605$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Top Esports78c3,193$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.223351.5%17 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked 100 Thieves0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed 100 Thieves20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Top Esports79c2,894$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0692450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Top Esports78c2,700$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5942236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0023…7d4bbacked Top Esports78c2,546$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.721776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed Top Esports79c2,500$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.995149%25 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Top Esports78c2,300$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111,18444.4%526 W · 658 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Top Esports79c2,240$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5814338.5%55 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed 100 Thieves23c2,194$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked 100 Thieves21c2,137$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.5813259.1%78 W · 54 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f9b…7829backed Top Esports80c2,101$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.87561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Top Esports80c2,100$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42016439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad3…d62abacked 100 Thieves19c2,079$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 100 Thieves22c2,051$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.7848548.7%236 W · 249 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked 100 Thieves20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bd…4012backed 100 Thieves5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Top Esports80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf475…ee8cbacked 100 Thieves6c1,997$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed 100 Thieves19c1,820$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.854129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e5…0e41backed 100 Thieves3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42df…e54abacked Top Esports79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3153050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed 100 Thieves14c1,458$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…7617backed Top Esports78c1,410$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.191650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67c6…0e76backed 100 Thieves22c1,346$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ab…e4cfbacked Top Esports80c1,309$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.872142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Top Esports78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.057346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…fa4fbacked Top Esports78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.052740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafe…91ebbacked Top Esports78c1,278$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.622846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5d3…0cccbacked 100 Thieves4c1,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451540%6 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Top Esports80c1,244$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.87844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad5…08e3backed 100 Thieves1c1,227$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Top Esports80c1,220$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.072352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c1…2727backed Top Esports80c1,200$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed Top Esports78c1,099$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.788356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d5…12d5backed 100 Thieves23c1,069$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.073756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed 100 Thieves3c1,038$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.152157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1287…85adbacked 100 Thieves1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed 100 Thieves2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b00…20e1backed Top Esports80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Top Esports77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308436.9%31 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68b…392dbacked 100 Thieves19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902025%5 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Top Esports80c1,000$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20511744.4%52 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed 100 Thieves18c999.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9912042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed 100 Thieves20c990$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19825269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d42…5bbcbacked 100 Thieves3c988.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked 100 Thieves16c950$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.55226.9%14 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6d…e803backed Top Esports77c925.41$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.554339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cd…3499backed Top Esports80c902.1$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.425450%27 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked 100 Thieves2c900$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711839%46 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ed…59e8backed 100 Thieves4c900$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ae…7e21backed Top Esports78c863.76$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0798…09ecbacked Top Esports78c855.51$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c3…ac68backed 100 Thieves7c835.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9f7…21d7backed 100 Thieves13c788.24$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed 100 Thieves22c776.57$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9113121.4%28 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 100 Thieves18c756.18$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.251,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5493…5855backed 100 Thieves4c750$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.75829.3%17 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Top Esports80c704.86$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9736050.6%182 W · 178 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3f…cc08backed 100 Thieves23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa5…3272backed Top Esports77c699.99$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Top Esports78c689.32$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.653231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x070c…fd3cbacked Top Esports79c686.87$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.631553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…5007backed Top Esports80c665.79$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.161050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Top Esports78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.032060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d3…1719backed Top Esports78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.035242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7c…31f4backed Top Esports78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.032759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.