TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$859,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,043,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bbe…5503backed Fnatic17c100,163$17,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,379.271414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed Fnatic11c49,791$5,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,288.23327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Fnatic16c41,157$6,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,720.7325446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Fnatic13c33,399$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340.434928.6%14 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Fnatic18c32,420$5,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,811.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Fnatic20c30,533$6,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,006.5954353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Fnatic17c24,420$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,151.43148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Fnatic20c15,087$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.687243.1%31 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82f9…3950backed Fnatic3c15,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Fnatic19c14,061$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.081,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Fnatic22c13,939$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.3766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Bilibili Gaming80c10,450$8,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09048742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Fnatic20c10,015$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.91540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Fnatic19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90013453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic18c10,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7603,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Bilibili Gaming79c7,098$5,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.3951160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Fnatic17c6,802$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.269548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bf…004abacked Fnatic3c6,577$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Fnatic17c6,096$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.2520348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d9…cd44backed Bilibili Gaming80c5,500$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bilibili Gaming80c4,869$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.241,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Fnatic19c4,562$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.871526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Fnatic21c4,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.951,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c8…5c16backed Fnatic4c4,100$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick36cpaid-91%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8818…3772backed Fnatic17c4,080$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Fnatic17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Fnatic14c3,216$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44075630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Fnatic17c3,178$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.453935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6349…2a82backed Fnatic9c3,100$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Fnatic2c3,020$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.238624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed Fnatic18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Fnatic3c2,940$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2912022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Fnatic18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006930.4%21 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fnatic18c2,500$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4482,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Fnatic15c2,350$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.57030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed Fnatic21c2,341$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Fnatic18c2,333$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Fnatic22c2,300$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50682352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fnatic15c2,197$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.261,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafa8…8975backed Fnatic4c2,129$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…93d7backed Bilibili Gaming77c2,100$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Bilibili Gaming79c2,072$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Fnatic1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Bilibili Gaming80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40027452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Fnatic2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ab…e4cfbacked Bilibili Gaming80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4102142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Fnatic16c1,893$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5710924.8%27 W · 82 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Fnatic20c1,826$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0314236.6%52 W · 90 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…adbcbacked Bilibili Gaming80c1,813$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.54050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Fnatic3c1,804$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1219041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6585…957bbacked Fnatic16c1,800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.991520%3 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Fnatic17c1,761$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3087330.1%22 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ff…1603backed Fnatic4c1,705$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702025%5 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c6…0e76backed Fnatic4c1,688$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e2…2cf3backed Fnatic4c1,669$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd0…652bbacked Fnatic18c1,625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.794632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic17c1,609$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.051,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Fnatic18c1,600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce6…107cbacked Fnatic7c1,599$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.911216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Fnatic20c1,565$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7513336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Bilibili Gaming79c1,412$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.448756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Fnatic19c1,326$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013121.4%28 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Fnatic3c1,254$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed Fnatic16c1,234$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5110250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Fnatic17c1,200$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6f…a1aabacked Fnatic17c1,200$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Fnatic22c1,160$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.254129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Bilibili Gaming79c1,152$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9632350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…4db9backed Fnatic4c1,150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939f…6d5ebacked Fnatic18c1,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008728.7%25 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Fnatic19c1,052$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.953956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1287…85adbacked Fnatic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…2ed0backed Fnatic4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Fnatic20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d2…3fd9backed Fnatic18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Bilibili Gaming80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c02…3c15backed Fnatic19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked Fnatic7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706045%27 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Fnatic15c997.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1623624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471f…f0f3backed Fnatic19c909.37$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.782564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Bilibili Gaming80c906.94$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.396462.5%40 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d3…0348backed Fnatic8c902.38$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad5…08e3backed Fnatic4c901.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Fnatic19c899.97$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.999337.6%35 W · 58 L+12.5wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+92.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xafae…8c3cbacked Bilibili Gaming79c881.07$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.791353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a65…fb5bbacked Fnatic5c875$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe478…610ebacked Fnatic8c843.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65735.5%4 W · 69 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-64.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94eb…809dbacked Fnatic12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…c172backed Fnatic9c798.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.71216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Fnatic14c777$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.782828.6%8 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f7…21d7backed Fnatic21c761.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa0…d756backed Bilibili Gaming80c761.38$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…9d19backed Fnatic4c752$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.081070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Fnatic17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11975738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Fnatic18c694.44$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…b52dbacked Fnatic16c688.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Fnatic13c654.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513836.2%50 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2feb…c614backed Fnatic6c630.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6d…e803backed Bilibili Gaming80c630$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Bilibili Gaming80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.