TailMyPicks
Market

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes32c30,685$9,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,813.83875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c8,983$5,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.1246644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Yes35c5,800$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa655…9e3fbacked Yes0c5,039$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c4,808$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.5347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No72c4,464$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c4,208$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.2311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c3,997$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.3414755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c3,569$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.3998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No66c2,950$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c2,681$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.943748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed No68c2,336$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes33c2,187$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.822512%3 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes36c1,586$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.851643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No70c1,415$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.577549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No68c1,103$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.944355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c1,065$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.285558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c907.29$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3630055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes38c795.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed No65c765.77$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed No68c665.32$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+120.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c660.06$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6214955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No67c650$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.611940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Yes35c573.09$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No69c552.14$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes35c518.45$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No67c506.89$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked No66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17013243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x937b…7db0backed Yes32c496.38$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes34c489.98$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.163256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes26c473.42$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5824732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7658…2066backed Yes32c469.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes30c450.32$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.272070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes30c447.2$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes34c411.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes28c358.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed No66c272.73$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9186…fad1backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0988…f6f9backed Yes11c249.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes32c248.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.564148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No73c247.38$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8614047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes33c237.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.581323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No64c234.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.571861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes31c233.11$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.922846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes31c220.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.74355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes31c216.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.152657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes31c215.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-78.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes24c208.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504540%18 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No69c202.59$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.52748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes31c198.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.363253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No68c197.39$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Yes37c193$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c191.63$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes31c183.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.15754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes25c182.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Yes30c181.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No66c178.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.535154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes34c170.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1311057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes31c163.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes27c150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes15c145.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.029714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No68c118$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.762070%14 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No66c115.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.422445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c115.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7710837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes33c108.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0111752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc43c…1310backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.05887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x895c…d405backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes24c97.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No68c93.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3511050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa6…98cebacked Yes37c93.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x589d…b958backed Yes15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e5d…21aabacked Yes31c77.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd2…38d1backed No64c76.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.763737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x497d…944cbacked No67c75.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No68c73.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.552755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed No73c73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes31c72.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2932453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes30c69.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6826…d188backed Yes29c68.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No66c68.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.