TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6006…13afbacked Yes38c5,017$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.031338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c4,964$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,275.9998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Yes33c3,993$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c3,486$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.7746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No71c1,438$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.051070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes28c1,430$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.48139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes31c1,334$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked No56c1,151$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.086946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No47c1,085$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked No39c766.65$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.375925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes27c670.06$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.06650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c659.82$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c603.6$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes27c556.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.521861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes27c422.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.225119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes48c390$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.691330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes77c389.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.681735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No70c383.69$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.884148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c373.68$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6810837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.372240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes50c363.5$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.079431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No69c358.11$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.692512%3 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No69c331.67$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.473253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No69c305.9$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.43850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes54c296.36$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8713049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c258.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No73c258.9$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No54c224.01$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8824732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No56c221$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.76650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes34c209.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.966850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Yes11c200$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+463.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes44c199.95$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c199.92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes28c178.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.931947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No74c163.26$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.812070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No69c152.79$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.571323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No74c150.72$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes62c136$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed No42c133.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.16757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes14c130.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.811275%9 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.54per pick21cpaid+326.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb11a…a80ebacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No30c122.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5712532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked No21c119.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes66c117.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c115.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes27c114.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8111351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No28c113.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9211858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes59c94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No55c90.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes22c90$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed No18c88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+154.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No74c87.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba6…13a3backed Yes56c85.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c84.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5811752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes36c83.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.531450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No74c81.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes56c80.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3811940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No27c80.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.03911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x497d…944cbacked No69c79.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5aa…54c1backed Yes77c78.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No68c76.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.592147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes27c74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed Yes45c68.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.59887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab9…213ebacked Yes64c58.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes62c55.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.222330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No58c48.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2311050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes28c47.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.094626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c43.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5930055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No36c43.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.449714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No57c43.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2584…9e02backed No74c41.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No73c41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.936955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No73c39.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.161650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Yes63c39.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked No51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0d…bea7backed No68c36.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.881060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes42c35.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…2bb0backed No52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes66c33.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes72c29.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd194…f651backed Yes51c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed No62c25.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a9…dbc4backed No80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0953…e44fbacked No68c21.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed No69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa08…b12dbacked Yes53c20.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed No67c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No73c18.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+80.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed No69c18.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No80c17.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.774940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes68c16.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.