Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05f87492cd379d27deccf1eb38a8aba71216317b31b5f15d1f41b9bc18319f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,742,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,919,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,742,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 104,775$83,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,060.47 | 596 | 58.2%347 W · 249 L | -29.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…2558backed JD Gaming | 18c | 64,210$11,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,559.8 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed JD Gaming | 21c | 53,954$11,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,121.36 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed JD Gaming | 1c | 47,291$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.75 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed JD Gaming | 0c | 46,562$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed JD Gaming | 17c | 44,417$7,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,754.53 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed JD Gaming | 20c | 43,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.99 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed JD Gaming | 7c | 40,072$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.2 | 200 | 35%70 W · 130 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed JD Gaming | 17c | 40,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming | 20c | 38,218$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.79 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…9c53backed JD Gaming | 22c | 32,050$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked JD Gaming | 8c | 31,204$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.96 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed JD Gaming | 20c | 30,764$6,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152.83 | 1,158 | 49.2%570 W · 588 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 27,033$21,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.53 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…7f2bbacked JD Gaming | 7c | 26,066$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.22 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed JD Gaming | 19c | 25,211$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed JD Gaming | 18c | 24,746$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.28 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked JD Gaming | 20c | 24,644$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.82 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 19,485$15,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.91 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked JD Gaming | 19c | 18,230$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.71 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked JD Gaming | 20c | 17,751$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.74 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked JD Gaming | 11c | 15,507$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed JD Gaming | 2c | 15,429$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 587 | 3.6%21 W · 566 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…41c9backed JD Gaming | 0c | 15,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed JD Gaming | 4c | 14,901$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.05 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 13,984$11,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.75 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed JD Gaming | 4c | 13,165$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.92 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed JD Gaming | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 12,493$9,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.62 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…a879backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 10,655$8,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.42 | 210 | 28.1%59 W · 151 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked JD Gaming | 20c | 10,611$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked JD Gaming | 2c | 10,437$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 144 | 36.8%53 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked JD Gaming | 4c | 10,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 634 | 7.1%45 W · 589 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…ab03backed JD Gaming | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed JD Gaming | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed JD Gaming | 15c | 9,444$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.75 | 435 | 42.5%185 W · 250 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 8,754$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.56 | 303 | 60.7%184 W · 119 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 7,991$6,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.25 | 157 | 73.2%115 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…0129backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 7,777$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked JD Gaming | 19c | 7,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed JD Gaming | 18c | 7,139$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.97 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…5fe7backed JD Gaming | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed JD Gaming | 12c | 5,803$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.21 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed JD Gaming | 18c | 5,798$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.55 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed JD Gaming | 16c | 5,649$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed JD Gaming | 17c | 5,450$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.18 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed JD Gaming | 7c | 5,183$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.14 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked JD Gaming | 14c | 4,937$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.5 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed JD Gaming | 21c | 4,844$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.31 | 402 | 32.8%132 W · 270 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 4,535$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 4,492$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.28 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe1…7f4ebacked JD Gaming | 3c | 4,400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…122fbacked JD Gaming | 6c | 4,104$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +296.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked JD Gaming | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…a693backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked JD Gaming | 19c | 4,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked JD Gaming | 1c | 3,823$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 663 | 16.4%109 W · 554 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed JD Gaming | 19c | 3,457$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.07 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…fdfcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 3,432$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.4 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…058cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 3,052$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…d575backed JD Gaming | 1c | 2,947$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 21cpaid | +541.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked JD Gaming | 13c | 2,772$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.82 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked JD Gaming | 20c | 2,743$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.59 | 760 | 30.3%230 W · 530 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed JD Gaming | 21c | 2,619$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 248 | 58.1%144 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…c0e4backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 2,496$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed JD Gaming | 4c | 2,400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 429 | 24.2%104 W · 325 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming | 14c | 2,339$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.07 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked JD Gaming | 18c | 2,292$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.86 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked JD Gaming | 17c | 2,280$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 2,278$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed JD Gaming | 1c | 2,272$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked JD Gaming | 18c | 2,217$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.11 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed JD Gaming | 14c | 2,063$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…2727backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…11d5backed JD Gaming | 11c | 1,980$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +900.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…a924backed JD Gaming | 18c | 1,939$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2226…de06backed JD Gaming | 8c | 1,910$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed JD Gaming | 18c | 1,887$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.95 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed JD Gaming | 5c | 1,820$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked JD Gaming | 17c | 1,800$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…2003backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 1,795$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed JD Gaming | 7c | 1,750$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed JD Gaming | 16c | 1,731$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed JD Gaming | 13c | 1,723$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5996…bad8backed JD Gaming | 11c | 1,714$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed JD Gaming | 4c | 1,709$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked JD Gaming | 13c | 1,700$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 680 | 49%333 W · 347 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed JD Gaming | 19c | 1,600$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed JD Gaming | 19c | 1,598$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed JD Gaming | 5c | 1,588$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed JD Gaming | 19c | 1,475$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed JD Gaming | 19c | 1,462$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked JD Gaming | 21c | 1,457$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.79 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0776…f245backed JD Gaming | 20c | 1,443$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.