TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,256 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming41c220.26$91 inLost-$91.211,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ea…3668backed Bilibili Gaming58c172.41$100 inWon+$72.4111246.4%52 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed JD Gaming44c169.78$75 inLost-$7522617.7%40 W · 186 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Bilibili Gaming56c159.89$90 inWon+$70.355463%34 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming55c108$59 inWon+$49.053,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed JD Gaming45c88.97$40 inLost-$402147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Bilibili Gaming60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.337055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e7…3f3fbacked Bilibili Gaming60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed Bilibili Gaming54c21.74$12 inWon+$1021028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.