TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,007 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9bad…861fbacked Bilibili Gaming34c78,307$26,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,784.983246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed JD Gaming67c30,000$20,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,099.924037.5%15 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5a…f96ebacked JD Gaming66c25,118$16,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,5541931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed JD Gaming66c14,377$9,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,519.071,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Bilibili Gaming38c13,150$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,152.9966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming67c12,355$8,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,216.761,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked JD Gaming66c10,000$6,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,57590348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Bilibili Gaming34c6,681$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.4622624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked JD Gaming64c6,580$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.9719648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed JD Gaming62c6,452$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed Bilibili Gaming40c6,283$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.7220454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Bilibili Gaming33c3,290$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.764443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked JD Gaming61c3,223$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Bilibili Gaming33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.39962.6%62 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Bilibili Gaming33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01014060%84 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Bilibili Gaming32c2,862$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.223762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed JD Gaming62c2,640$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.82466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked JD Gaming66c2,633$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.7334244.7%153 W · 189 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed JD Gaming52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003923.1%9 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked JD Gaming67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.9822930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Bilibili Gaming48c2,199$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.5976953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Bilibili Gaming32c2,188$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.7723020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Bilibili Gaming34c2,100$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.9882554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Bilibili Gaming33c2,097$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.973938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed JD Gaming67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3401,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Bilibili Gaming34c1,720$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.3337641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bilibili Gaming32c1,691$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.367736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked JD Gaming66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bilibili Gaming33c1,413$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.3944128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming65c1,400$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.182,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed JD Gaming66c1,364$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Bilibili Gaming32c1,295$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.4118244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Bilibili Gaming36c1,246$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.7263247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed JD Gaming62c1,236$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.0523832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Bilibili Gaming34c1,176$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.4710949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bilibili Gaming32c1,173$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.641233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Bilibili Gaming45c1,110$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.495653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed JD Gaming65c1,086$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.910355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed JD Gaming68c1,059$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.091,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked JD Gaming50c1,053$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.0778050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Bilibili Gaming34c879.43$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.8212647.6%60 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Bilibili Gaming35c818.73$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.551,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming55c751.66$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.592,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming32c736.23$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.643,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Bilibili Gaming33c716$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked JD Gaming67c700$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46921150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed JD Gaming68c700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47630139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed JD Gaming50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35037039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed JD Gaming68c700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4761,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed JD Gaming61c690$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.81,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde14…72dabacked JD Gaming68c661.76$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505050%25 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Bilibili Gaming46c652.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.534949%24 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Bilibili Gaming33c632.89$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.596352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Bilibili Gaming33c606.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.6927142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Bilibili Gaming33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0639541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4629…8639backed JD Gaming66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Bilibili Gaming36c604.29$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2964435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Bilibili Gaming39c574.71$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Bilibili Gaming37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.549750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Bilibili Gaming40c504.52$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7195951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed JD Gaming68c502$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.364257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Bilibili Gaming34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1851044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked JD Gaming52c434.62$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22650158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed JD Gaming68c422.57$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Bilibili Gaming36c416.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9455744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed JD Gaming67c413.65$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.141855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe503…735ebacked JD Gaming36c407.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.541010%1 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick44cpaid-85.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed JD Gaming52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…dbfabacked JD Gaming67c400$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26917646.6%82 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed JD Gaming52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked JD Gaming66c360.71$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0710749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bilibili Gaming31c346.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9722336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Bilibili Gaming37c339.73$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7351247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked JD Gaming66c330.61$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.522545.8%103 W · 122 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab7…d144backed JD Gaming69c307.19$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9611248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed JD Gaming66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864f…ebe6backed JD Gaming66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c1…2727backed JD Gaming66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Bilibili Gaming45c291.13$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1239152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Bilibili Gaming34c290.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.49538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Bilibili Gaming47c288$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Bilibili Gaming33c288$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.967160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Bilibili Gaming40c273$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.882766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed JD Gaming60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15086251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed JD Gaming67c236.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9952848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Bilibili Gaming33c227.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2740237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed JD Gaming66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Bilibili Gaming46c215.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.325263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ebf…b119backed Bilibili Gaming33c215.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed JD Gaming29c206.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked JD Gaming53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10656341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Bilibili Gaming32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13644743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked JD Gaming67c196$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.323754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked JD Gaming52c195.85$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8456744.8%254 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked JD Gaming52c190.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed JD Gaming67c186.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9819351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed JD Gaming68c182$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Bilibili Gaming49c176.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.941,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed JD Gaming70c172.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3409…6839backed JD Gaming57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.92045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.