TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,773 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over66c18,439$12,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,092.351,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under34c11,201$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,404.541,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under40c8,309$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,944.8119648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641c…9a65backed Under37c6,331$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005.411855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under35c5,924$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,872.615829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over66c4,860$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under34c4,635$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.993762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.9939749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under34c2,433$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.731,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over1c2,431$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6589810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under34c2,113$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.551233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over66c1,520$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…e946backed Over60c1,383$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.448647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over67c1,358$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.513344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over67c1,199$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Over11c1,190$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.892748.1%13 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick27cpaid+105%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over66c1,033$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.982552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Over69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6905959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under31c945.55$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.439938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Over66c900$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59457945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under33c887.99$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.043429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over20c852.24$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.672,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over66c834.88$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.0217544%77 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf180…9235backed Over68c825.59$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.46732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under35c817.08$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.722336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over66c770$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.210521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over66c752.59$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Over65c668.41$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.4714936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Over64c657.85$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0220045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Over78c643.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.034047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under35c622.86$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.863938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed Over66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over63c587.36$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.682,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ae…0504backed Over35c571.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over66c566.62$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9752848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under33c543.84$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.373,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under35c527$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.551,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Under36c510$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.428240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked Over68c500.07$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over66c499.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33021150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over66c482.86$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.6931153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Over54c474$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9629143.3%126 W · 165 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c1…2727backed Over67c456$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.523847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0454…ba0fbacked Under69c435.87$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…eea9backed Under40c423.61$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.112250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under34c417.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3918347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Over54c382.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.747057.1%40 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed Under35c372.77$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.32832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over64c358.59$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc4…1569backed Over13c309.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2970%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb71f…289abacked Under35c302.86$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.861947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6e…f65fbacked Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1989643.8%42 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under33c287.65$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7644128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ba…afdabacked Over52c276.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14417616.5%29 W · 147 L-11.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x363a…c197backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d4…eb89backed Over29c231.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.276428.1%18 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+97%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under34c227.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.411,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under34c223.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6142735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under49c216.14$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2376953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under33c212.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1248042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e06…40c9backed Over68c205.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over50c199.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.923,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over54c193.58$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.321,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfe…5b91backed Under35c180$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under39c177.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.65853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Over69c173.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6215857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Over36c166.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9895…89e6backed Under35c160$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64c5…d255backed Over49c158$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.421650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde9…761cbacked Under35c154.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over67c153.27$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1134945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008842%37 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012757.5%73 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0138…f2bcbacked Under34c151$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…2317backed Over54c148.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under54c146.12$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2625466.5%169 W · 85 L+22.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5ec…681ebacked Over61c135.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under33c126$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3826940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over67c123.47$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1914852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.435448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked Under34c117.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7528040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under35c114.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.663943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under41c109.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6223348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e73…464fbacked Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick68cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf91…5010backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over66c98.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513541.5%56 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Under34c94.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1218742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Under33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9116035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43da…576cbacked Over66c87.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+148.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a10…6e92backed Under49c81.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.14052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ca…7a98backed Over66c75.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc30d…c27ebacked Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Under35c72.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under34c70.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.579255.4%51 W · 41 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc631…59a6backed Over57c70.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4e…319cbacked Under36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.