Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d8ded8580708ad93ac6fb58071036ebf6dc9aad3fe1b9d89195d52d0b315896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,773 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 66c | 18,439$12,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,092.35 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 34c | 11,201$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,404.54 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 40c | 8,309$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.81 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…9a65backed Under | 37c | 6,331$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 35c | 5,924$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.6 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Over | 66c | 4,860$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 34c | 4,635$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Over | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 34c | 2,433$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.73 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 1c | 2,431$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 34c | 2,113$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Over | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…e946backed Over | 60c | 1,383$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.44 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 67c | 1,358$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.5 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 67c | 1,199$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Over | 11c | 1,190$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 27cpaid | +105%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 66c | 1,033$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Over | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 31c | 945.55$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.43 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 66c | 900$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 33c | 887.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.04 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 20c | 852.24$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 66c | 834.88$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.02 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…9235backed Over | 68c | 825.59$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.4 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 35c | 817.08$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.7 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 66c | 770$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.2 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 66c | 752.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.87 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Over | 65c | 668.41$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.47 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Over | 64c | 657.85$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.02 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Over | 78c | 643.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Under | 35c | 622.86$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.86 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed Over | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 63c | 587.36$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…0504backed Over | 35c | 571.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 66c | 566.62$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.97 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 33c | 543.84$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.37 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 35c | 527$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.55 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Under | 36c | 510$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…d17abacked Over | 68c | 500.07$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 66c | 482.86$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.69 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Over | 54c | 474$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…2727backed Over | 67c | 456$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…ba0fbacked Under | 69c | 435.87$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed Under | 40c | 423.61$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 34c | 417.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Over | 54c | 382.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Under | 35c | 372.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 64c | 358.59$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc4…1569backed Over | 13c | 309.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…289abacked Under | 35c | 302.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…f65fbacked Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 33c | 287.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…afdabacked Over | 52c | 276.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 176 | 16.5%29 W · 147 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…c197backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…eb89backed Over | 29c | 231.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +97%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 34c | 227.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 34c | 223.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 49c | 216.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…40c9backed Over | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 50c | 199.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 54c | 193.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…5b91backed Under | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 39c | 177.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 69c | 173.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Over | 36c | 166.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9895…89e6backed Under | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…d255backed Over | 49c | 158$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde9…761cbacked Under | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 67c | 153.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…f2bcbacked Under | 34c | 151$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Over | 54c | 148.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 54c | 146.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked Over | 61c | 135.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 33c | 126$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 67c | 123.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Under | 34c | 117.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 35c | 114.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 41c | 109.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…464fbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…5010backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 66c | 98.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Under | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Under | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43da…576cbacked Over | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…6e92backed Under | 49c | 81.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…7a98backed Over | 66c | 75.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…c27ebacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Under | 35c | 72.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 34c | 70.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…59a6backed Over | 57c | 70.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…319cbacked Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.