TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,929 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf19d…276fbacked Under46c26,001$11,845 inLost-$11,844.613762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over55c22,500$12,300 inWon+$10,199.9817163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c7,196$3,875 inWon+$3,321.321,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under45c2,058$926 inLost-$925.918829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under49c1,100$539 inLost-$53920249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over51c948.99$484 inWon+$465.0122336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over50c800$400 inWon+$4002,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under45c540$243 inLost-$2432123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under45c524.44$236 inLost-$23624041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c461.12$238 inLost-$237.9616154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under50c460$230 inLost-$2309938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Under50c400$200 inLost-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Over47c369.24$174 inWon+$195.714936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under52c196.6$103 inLost-$103.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Under45c190.35$86 inLost-$85.661540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c141.84$51 inWon+$90.381,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Over29c134.36$39 inWon+$95.6623832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under76c124.11$94 inLost-$943943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Over20c65.31$13 inWon+$52.242524%6 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed Under66c60.22$40 inLost-$402832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over50c60$30 inWon+$3041544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over54c55.18$30 inWon+$25.6519648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c37.77$18 inWon+$19.6444128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over51c36$18 inWon+$17.6423348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over51c20$10 inWon+$9.828559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.