TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2387…2a96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT11631%36 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$127.39
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+825.9%+$123.89
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+423.1%+$66.56
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$116.71
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$83.7
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Léon Marchand win the most gold medals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$109.78
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+26.4%+$93.53
Will Great Britain win the 3rd most medals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.86
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+33.2%+$220.99
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Olympic Men’s Basketball: Germany vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+38.4%+$76.71
Will Julien Alfred (LCA) win gold in 200m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ariarne Titmus (AUS) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Zhanle Pan (CHN) win Gold in Men's 100m Freestyle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Leon Marchand (FRA) win Gold in Men's 200m Breaststroke?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT+53.2%+$86.57
Olympic Basketball: USA (-29.5) vs. South Sudan Spreadbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mollie O’Callaghan (AUS) win Gold in Women's 100m Freestyle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick24cpaid-82%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Trump posts 30-34 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Trump posts 10-19 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$205.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$101.6
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+322.2%+$290.02
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Commanders vs. Ravensbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Ravens beat the Bills by 3 or more points?backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brandon Aiyuk be traded to the Steelers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+109.3%+$21.87
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.16
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+141%+$140.96
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+508.6%+$508.58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-49.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.