Premier League · resolved market
Will Morocco win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa174467cf53629d3e8310284dd0633743459453f7f659c112431584ad12bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 13c | 13,652$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.4 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…c29cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,605$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…8c18backed Yes | 11c | 3,174$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.64 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…27adbacked Yes | 16c | 3,104$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 14c | 2,478$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.97 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 17c | 1,779$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…40c0backed Yes | 11c | 1,776$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,558$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…c195backed Yes | 8c | 1,150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6c…7f93backed Yes | 6c | 861.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 6c | 808.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…8177backed Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 11c | 580$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…b44cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…628cbacked Yes | 7c | 510$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…72bebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Yes | 16c | 216.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…5707backed Yes | 16c | 172.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…abeabacked Yes | 17c | 168.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…8d4fbacked Yes | 13c | 148.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked Yes | 13c | 143$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…c28bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…de46backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…fe87backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 13c | 90.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ded…62e0backed Yes | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77d…2f85backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…0336backed Yes | 23c | 64.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…a6b7backed Yes | 37c | 29.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morocco win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?this page
- Will Argentina win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Egypt win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Israel win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Japan win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Paraguay win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?Yes won
- Will another country win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will the U.S. win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.