TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes35c40,732$14,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,344.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ed…56febacked No51c9,823$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,813.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1476…ce65backed Yes49c9,823$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294f…4576backed No48c9,645$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb70…bc98backed Yes52c9,645$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked No64c8,416$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No61c5,910$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.345450%27 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1899…db7bbacked Yes58c2,671$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30a…353bbacked Yes58c2,553$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-77.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x180f…4427backed Yes59c2,531$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes48c2,437$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.521816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes58c2,406$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes33c2,292$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.771020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4c8…3e97backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes16c1,832$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.42532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes19c1,604$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.925923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes58c1,208$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.613043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf369…6caebacked No42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a0…68c9backed Yes60c1,079$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…fc78backed Yes31c812.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Yes10c787.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.372240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No57c683.6$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4415328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No53c683.42$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.291931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f7…88fbbacked Yes63c676.54$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes32c619.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked No65c579.8$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.313548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x786b…9882backed Yes33c566.38$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.67425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39e…e7c7backed Yes54c518.52$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes59c510$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c6…d07fbacked Yes59c501.93$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe22e…d526backed Yes15c459.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3473…1bb2backed No68c442.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d96…91f6backed Yes69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6598…42adbacked No43c425.88$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes52c400.41$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.916036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef3…4aefbacked Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad1…e3dcbacked No42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed No40c399.96$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.971758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd76…6c23backed No49c394.38$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.19560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+87.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dcc…3f54backed Yes7c388.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd4…50fabacked Yes6c380.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf1…16b1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777e…2836backed Yes51c324.86$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.68366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c7d…0ab0backed Yes18c317$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe016…642abacked Yes24c303$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed Yes51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6766…9291backed Yes47c298.23$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes36c278.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…c07abacked Yes36c277.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x971f…160abacked No40c257.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb265…9945backed Yes32c252.13$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1180…8e39backed Yes34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2c…2f5dbacked Yes32c243.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4f…6ceabacked Yes53c243.4$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b58…eba2backed Yes37c243.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8304…f086backed No56c243$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ad…6421backed Yes32c239.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a424backed Yes21c235.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0c…33a2backed Yes61c230.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed No46c225.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.55850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No53c225.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8512959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes29c225$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.256636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154e…0fe3backed Yes47c217.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed No66c216.84$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.732458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+193.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc74b…00d2backed Yes46c215.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…2194backed Yes39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…528ebacked No48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0416…9b31backed No50c201.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd9…6333backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe0…b44cbacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3048…6b54backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x839c…47d8backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab4…f8f3backed No42c195.17$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4f…ca22backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc633…a11bbacked Yes13c187$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes32c185.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.37850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce61…1d77backed No49c171.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb999…8441backed Yes49c170.25$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db7…d20ebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1584…5017backed Yes62c169.13$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa7…d285backed Yes60c167.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9531…276dbacked Yes53c165.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60d…d798backed Yes32c165.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…45edbacked No69c165.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602c…f71abacked Yes59c162.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3016…a4d7backed Yes32c162.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…498dbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca5…eccabacked Yes50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9193…c86cbacked Yes77c155.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.592245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb344…74abbacked Yes36c154.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f6…1fefbacked No65c153.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…bad6backed Yes62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x761b…f902backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92b…9916backed Yes52c146.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0641…565bbacked No43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9366…b738backed No43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+113.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes47c138.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.66747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53b0…3881backed No43c134.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b4…94ddbacked Yes75c134.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83d…75cbbacked No43c132.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+113.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.