Premier League · resolved market
Will Egypt win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00a9146d6ad0ebcbf00c99c664633ef02c3c97700421ffe2eef37156831de70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 18,239$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.51 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 6,537$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 6,534$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 6c | 5,711$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.8 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Yes | 7c | 5,443$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…c195backed Yes | 2c | 4,861$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 6c | 2,001$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,673$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 3c | 1,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…8c18backed Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 8c | 697.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked Yes | 6c | 480$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 3c | 437.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…66bbbacked Yes | 7c | 243.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…ff68backed Yes | 7c | 150.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?this page
- Will Argentina win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Israel win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Japan win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Morocco win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Paraguay win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?Yes won
- Will another country win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
- Will the U.S. win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.