TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f47…af93backed No71c6,370$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,522.27437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes29c6,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2606660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed No75c1,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+49.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes79c1,226$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.646346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d61…fe3dbacked Yes43c1,036$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked No16c863.45$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.231560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes44c817$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4573122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No63c807.3$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.1715328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Yes31c803.09$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…498dbacked Yes44c797.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed No72c779.99$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.882458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+193.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes30c749.66$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.2212959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab3…dc66backed No74c688.66$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-78.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes38c602.11$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.415450%27 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…fc78backed Yes30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…6d91backed Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes25c573.55$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+144.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe22e…d526backed Yes17c530$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253f…edf9backed Yes29c525.43$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c0…cfc7backed Yes42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf76…5634backed Yes42c477.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3b…ffcebacked Yes48c406.67$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.31837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes26c405.34$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.532532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf1…16b1backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd76…6c23backed Yes27c399$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.23560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+87.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes40c370.89$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.951618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes26c360.95$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.691931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccce…7a04backed Yes68c349.88$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf087…40f5backed Yes42c349.67$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.095100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26c4…6b1abacked Yes73c344.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe0…b44cbacked Yes30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a90…34eabacked Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes26c298.66$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes40c296.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.711758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab0e…f4fdbacked Yes15c295.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.025100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+191%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes38c286.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.186636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Yes24c272.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.182240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes42c261.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.635923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…165cbacked No66c259$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b58…eba2backed Yes30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…581abacked Yes28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+156.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa346…baefbacked Yes20c219.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…3f54backed Yes41c219.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2736…3625backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1463100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+197.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6010…496cbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb743…352fbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes40c164.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0a…6758backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f38…f344backed No72c155.48$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a5…b1ccbacked Yes29c155.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+797.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73aa…d604backed Yes28c140$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60dd…f4b1backed Yes20c133.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7065…046abacked Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+166.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6691…17cfbacked No10c123.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…8523backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked No74c117.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59f6…b13dbacked Yes30c116.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes44c115.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.643557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0060…eb25backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9f…43b4backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20bf…5429backed Yes58c111$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcff…a5d5backed Yes27c109.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351c…2db3backed Yes27c109.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7606…99e6backed Yes28c106.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe367…f235backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f2…fe87backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786b…9882backed Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ec…3dc9backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a3…900abacked Yes36c99.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe485…7968backed Yes31c96.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa52…1db1backed Yes31c96.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee5…1d3dbacked Yes30c95.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a3…d74fbacked Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.24812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c9b…51c3backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3048…6b54backed Yes22c90.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.25742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes25c84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6314732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9775…20e1backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No69c82.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.049861.2%60 W · 38 L+12.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6863…f17bbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a7…4cb6backed Yes40c70.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…f82ebacked Yes55c66.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f7…91edbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7b…9638backed Yes43c65.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4102…42b6backed No60c64.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e2…87efbacked Yes27c63.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x896b…11c4backed Yes30c61.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…20afbacked No60c55.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab8…e781backed Yes43c54.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…0f99backed Yes31c53.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…10fdbacked No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cbe…5f66backed No78c49.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e81…b6b2backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cf…5b3fbacked Yes41c47.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.791060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.