Olympics · resolved market
Will Great Britain win the 3rd most medals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30dd420c7e4c88170352ebfd8b76162305c940350a363d527ffc269b0da10f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed No | 1c | 11,703$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 20c | 1,684$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +70%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 4c | 1,494$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 48c | 1,445$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f842backed No | 40c | 1,258$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 8c | 1,255$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 20c | 1,156$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 12c | 735.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.79 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…bdcdbacked Yes | 70c | 517.57$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…e5a4backed No | 77c | 439$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede2…b6b4backed No | 71c | 354.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…5e16backed No | 50c | 336.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 31c | 323.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 17c | 292.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.03 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 12c | 284.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…4facbacked Yes | 20c | 247.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +394.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed Yes | 21c | 228.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 38c | 185.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed No | 28c | 171.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 60c | 155.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3876…6a4ebacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…4700backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 21c | 120.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 15c | 113$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…f197backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…3a50backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 41cpaid | +233.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +335.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…d784backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…0ab0backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 34c | 89.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked Yes | 58c | 86.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…4968backed No | 17c | 65.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…1605backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…331fbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…1f37backed Yes | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked Yes | 31c | 38.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393f…ed3dbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Great Britain win the 3rd most medals?this page
- Will Australia win the 3rd most medals?No won
- Will China win the 3rd most medals?No won
- Will France win the 3rd most medals?No won
- Will Germany win the 3rd most medals?No won
- Will Japan win the 3rd most medals?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 3rd most medals?No won
- Will another country win the 3rd most medals?No won
- Will the United States win the 3rd most medals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.