World Politics · resolved market
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55094f77e9dbc107fc354a9b8a5939cd0b4d0cfae24c7f892dd778b565b579c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,734,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,620,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,734,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6601…25f4backed No | 73c | 63,653$46,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,484.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…b8d3backed No | 7c | 48,056$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 76c | 34,767$26,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 54c | 28,924$15,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,277.94 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…f2cebacked Yes | 25c | 28,340$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,339.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…7832backed Yes | 13c | 27,462$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,808.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +651.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…83cdbacked Yes | 15c | 24,673$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +236%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 44c | 20,950$9,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,686.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 68c | 20,082$13,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,652.41 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed Yes | 24c | 19,855$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,105.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 12c | 18,433$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,202.76 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed Yes | 73c | 15,844$11,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Yes | 79c | 15,379$12,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…4d7dbacked No | 58c | 14,674$8,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,446.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…95e5backed Yes | 15c | 13,380$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,322.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Yes | 42c | 13,370$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,785 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked Yes | 75c | 13,035$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 19c | 12,545$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,175.35 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 26c | 11,716$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,637.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…c0f8backed Yes | 36c | 11,616$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…eb22backed Yes | 22c | 10,672$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,327.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +363.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…880abacked Yes | 20c | 9,990$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +399.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 0c | 9,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…12eebacked Yes | 30c | 9,891$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,884.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…6d88backed Yes | 56c | 9,401$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…848ebacked Yes | 31c | 9,250$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…f4b1backed Yes | 17c | 9,184$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,633.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…15d5backed Yes | 35c | 8,796$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,677.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +1,041.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…c784backed Yes | 32c | 8,728$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…ad05backed No | 75c | 8,514$6,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,381.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 8,389$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.33 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 22c | 8,080$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,276.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…0e8bbacked Yes | 16c | 7,641$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +533.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 20c | 7,316$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,858.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…248dbacked Yes | 30c | 6,376$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…6b1abacked Yes | 17c | 6,143$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 22c | 6,092$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.32 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…b669backed No | 1c | 6,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8966backed Yes | 6c | 5,645$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +260.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Yes | 42c | 5,508$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 22c | 5,495$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.86 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…96ffbacked No | 1c | 5,417$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9e96backed Yes | 7c | 5,170$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,270.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6a…2ae6backed No | 79c | 5,118$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,057$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +911.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc130…c30abacked Yes | 27c | 4,939$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70a…8482backed Yes | 25c | 4,694$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +128%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 16c | 4,604$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.8 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 47c | 4,592$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f77…ead2backed No | 71c | 4,320$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…93acbacked Yes | 24c | 4,215$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +321.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…0bccbacked Yes | 15c | 4,078$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +572%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 18c | 4,074$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…f6d8backed Yes | 23c | 4,036$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 78c | 3,953$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b061backed Yes | 28c | 3,906$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Yes | 7c | 3,552$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,633.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4195…1c72backed Yes | 29c | 3,316$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4b…1327backed Yes | 13c | 3,294$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +516.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…21f8backed Yes | 16c | 3,031$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +506.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…650bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,014$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…2d22backed No | 30c | 2,982$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…97e7backed No | 4c | 2,968$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…8c6bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,967$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +499.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 4c | 2,939$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfd…e025backed Yes | 17c | 2,900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +364.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 12c | 2,841$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,800$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.21 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…8c31backed Yes | 21c | 2,788$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…74cebacked Yes | 28c | 2,784$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d47…938cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,772$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +305.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 38c | 2,745$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.94 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…1f9cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,608$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 9c | 2,591$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…8ff2backed Yes | 29c | 2,574$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…953cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,555$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,548$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…0036backed Yes | 15c | 2,527$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +568.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d2…1b32backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c2…cd0bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,495$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…8441backed Yes | 21c | 2,331$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +273.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 27c | 2,327$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…9f51backed Yes | 38c | 2,276$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…843fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,256$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +583.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…5d21backed Yes | 23c | 2,229$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…08f8backed Yes | 25c | 2,158$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +306.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed No | 77c | 2,144$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed Yes | 40c | 2,097$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Yes | 26c | 2,086$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 24c | 2,075$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed Yes | 40c | 2,070$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed Yes | 13c | 2,068$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +180%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…eca4backed Yes | 25c | 2,035$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +295.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…602dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,001$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +344.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…8fd7backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked Yes | 14c | 1,980$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +620.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…5452backed Yes | 20c | 1,971$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 50c | 1,965$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.49 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…205abacked Yes | 61c | 1,956$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?this page
- Will Antonio Ecarri Angola Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No won
- Will Javier Bertucci Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No won
- Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No won
- Will another candidate Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.