World Politics · resolved market
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72857b3b967e7cdf2e85258e88c7077ba22e6a3b0c1c30b6bd6fc7ee7b7b51a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,594,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,622,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,594,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Yes | 0c | 148,600$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…4d7dbacked Yes | 9c | 103,025$9,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,064.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 0c | 76,673$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 77c | 58,561$45,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,203.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6601…25f4backed Yes | 72c | 57,612$41,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,522.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 68c | 50,148$34,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,151.5 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…b8d3backed Yes | 19c | 33,918$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c3…b4fabacked No | 19c | 33,009$6,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,637.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +418.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…8780backed No | 22c | 31,894$7,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,790.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +349%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 1c | 30,494$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 68c | 30,201$20,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,791.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…3da6backed No | 70c | 28,485$19,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,589.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes | 1c | 26,006$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b4…e432backed Yes | 0c | 24,579$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…3e76backed Yes | 26c | 22,348$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 20c | 21,233$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,062.96 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…eac1backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…6971backed Yes | 0c | 20,640$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…0d86backed No | 26c | 19,360$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,345.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…d5d0backed No | 13c | 16,562$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,465.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 20c | 14,534$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,628.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…205abacked No | 46c | 13,595$6,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,363.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…1b5dbacked Yes | 79c | 13,417$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,650.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 19c | 12,871$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,409.62 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 79c | 12,410$9,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,865.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 24c | 11,672$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,815.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…6375backed No | 22c | 11,187$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,684.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…d2b7backed No | 18c | 11,066$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +453.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…09f6backed Yes | 77c | 10,711$8,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,228.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6a…2ae6backed Yes | 78c | 10,513$8,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,151.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5609…b1cbbacked Yes | 78c | 10,319$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf175…3008backed No | 13c | 10,126$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,826.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +289.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 17c | 10,119$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,380.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…5679backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…06d6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…ddc1backed No | 19c | 9,940$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,027.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +419.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…1da7backed No | 5c | 9,763$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,245.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,786.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…1d50backed Yes | 68c | 9,500$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…12eebacked No | 32c | 9,300$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,303.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 21c | 8,608$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,833.07 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 8,326$6,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.88 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…9200backed Yes | 77c | 8,172$6,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,318.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 29c | 7,991$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 65c | 7,681$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed No | 29c | 7,477$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1618…a456backed Yes | 5c | 7,473$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…3baebacked Yes | 79c | 7,405$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,861.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…eb22backed No | 21c | 7,085$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +363.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed No | 11c | 6,937$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,186.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +362.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…951ebacked No | 19c | 6,541$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +439.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…c784backed No | 32c | 6,218$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed Yes | 78c | 5,487$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 68c | 5,255$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0485…103ebacked No | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 6cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…15d5backed No | 5c | 4,698$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +1,041.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 12c | 4,549$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.61 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…83cdbacked Yes | 71c | 4,524$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +236%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f77…ead2backed Yes | 79c | 4,473$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 17c | 4,395$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed No | 23c | 4,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +331.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked No | 16c | 4,273$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 74c | 4,248$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.05 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…ea4bbacked No | 26c | 4,242$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 46c | 4,165$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.59 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…8e5abacked No | 27c | 3,842$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 21c | 3,816$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.56 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…6c6bbacked No | 11c | 3,746$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +358.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd7…441abacked No | 20c | 3,735$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +398.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 79c | 3,684$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.29 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 8c | 3,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…a8b7backed Yes | 80c | 3,499$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 16c | 3,490$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.89 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…e7a9backed No | 29c | 3,435$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +243.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1a…1046backed No | 32c | 3,327$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed No | 5c | 3,264$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,633.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 48c | 3,218$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.64 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4b…1327backed No | 22c | 3,215$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +516.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 37c | 3,204$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.81 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…6600backed No | 25c | 3,095$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…e219backed No | 3c | 2,927$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 35c | 2,880$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 80c | 2,855$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.93 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b061backed No | 21c | 2,809$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…35e7backed No | 13c | 2,764$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +493.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed No | 31c | 2,750$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +180%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2a…a607backed Yes | 75c | 2,673$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…3ffcbacked Yes | 73c | 2,657$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…9f51backed No | 42c | 2,614$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 77c | 2,555$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 72c | 2,533$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked No | 11c | 2,496$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked No | 22c | 2,463$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +441.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9434backed No | 41c | 2,451$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 26c | 2,429$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked No | 44c | 2,399$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9a…1360backed Yes | 64c | 2,371$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed No | 12c | 2,361$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +724.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…2c94backed Yes | 77c | 2,345$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…247bbacked No | 17c | 2,325$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…de01backed No | 29c | 2,232$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?this page
- Will Antonio Ecarri Angola Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No won
- Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes won
- Will Javier Bertucci Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No won
- Will another candidate Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.