TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfee4…5b91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-77%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$118.29
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Giants vs. Commandersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.43
Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Samaje Perine record 2 or more receptions in Super Bowl LIX?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will the Chiefs score 26 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$158.95
Will Samaje Perine score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Commanders vs. Patriotsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2024, EDT+244.8%+$61.21
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Jets vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Will Georgia beat Tennessee?backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Miami beat California by 11 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Will LSU beat South Carolina by 8 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alabama beat Wisconsin?backed Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alabama beat Wisconsin by 17 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
Miami vs. Florida winner?backed Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
Clemson vs. Georgia winner?backed Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
CFB: North Carolina vs. Minnesotabacked UNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
CFB: Colorado (-9.5) vs. NDSUbacked NDSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
CFB: NDSU vs. Coloradobacked NDSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
CFB: Florida St. vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$197.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
March Madness: Will 4 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+1,058.6%+$4,195.72
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+173.2%+$34.63
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Lipscomb vs. Iowa Statebacked Lipscomb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Drake vs. Missouribacked Drake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Yale vs. Texas A&Mbacked Yale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
VCU vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
High Point vs. Purduebacked High Point · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,633.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.3%+$214.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$90.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.