NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ec43443f68e7c9272dc64350883bf164522e50bb83784399bc899388cb656d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Jets, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Jets | 48c | 8,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.41 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Giants | 54c | 5,051$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.53 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…f46bbacked Giants | 39c | 4,551$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Giants | 58c | 4,040$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.2 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Jets | 44c | 4,019$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.83 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Giants | 42c | 2,455$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.41 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Giants | 50c | 1,900$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Jets | 46c | 1,495$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.73 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Giants | 23c | 1,288$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Giants | 57c | 1,043$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.65 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Giants | 59c | 1,026$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.51 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Giants | 57c | 912$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Giants | 37c | 808.48$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.12 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Giants | 57c | 775.44$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…5c65backed Jets | 44c | 679.41$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked Jets | 46c | 646$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +122%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Giants | 59c | 530.58$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.93 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Jets | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Giants | 54c | 487.84$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Jets | 45c | 484.89$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Jets | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Jets | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Jets | 41c | 380.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Jets | 46c | 345$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jets | 54c | 253.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…389cbacked Jets | 43c | 225.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…dfabbacked Giants | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…3c1dbacked Jets | 44c | 201.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Giants | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160f…524bbacked Jets | 56c | 142.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Jets | 40c | 141.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Giants | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Giants | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Jets | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed Giants | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…5ef8backed Jets | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Giants | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Giants | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Jets | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Giants | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Jets | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…0f69backed Jets | 44c | 74.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…349cbacked Giants | 57c | 63.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac2…112cbacked Giants | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Giants | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…a3ddbacked Jets | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…7f5abacked Jets | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…6239backed Giants | 57c | 22.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.