NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc206473e788a1d8f149e1f382284b9a15d8ad3c321598eb44a2d8f5c1b37cac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titansof Saints, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Saints | 37c | 11,456$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.56 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Titans | 66c | 4,132$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Titans | 70c | 3,765$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.05 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Titans | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Saints | 22c | 1,977$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.65 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Titans | 68c | 1,179$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.41 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Titans | 58c | 1,079$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.63 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Titans | 66c | 937.88$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Saints | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Saints | 32c | 842.53$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.61 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Saints | 36c | 699.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Saints | 44c | 665.07$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Titans | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…0da4backed Saints | 13c | 463$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Saints | 31c | 452.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Saints | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…6153backed Titans | 70c | 449.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…6fa3backed Saints | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…969dbacked Titans | 80c | 367.55$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Saints | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Saints | 70c | 298.48$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Titans | 54c | 296.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Saints | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…5ef8backed Saints | 24c | 202.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Titans | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Saints | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…6239backed Titans | 59c | 193.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Titans | 78c | 155$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed Titans | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Titans | 63c | 102.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Saints | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Saints | 31c | 96.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Saints | 50c | 90.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…0819backed Saints | 22c | 85.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Titans | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Saints | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Saints | 32c | 65.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Titans | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Titans | 39c | 63.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Titans | 64c | 60.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Titans | 69c | 59.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Saints | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Titans | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Titans | 69c | 46.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Saints | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Titans | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…bcf7backed Saints | 65c | 33.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Titans | 67c | 27.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Titans | 69c | 25.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…f990backed Titans | 69c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…f77ebacked Titans | 73c | 18.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Titans | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Saints | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.